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Bentleigh Greens vs Avondale FC

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Kingston Heath Soccer Complex, Melbourne
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Petratos Y.
28' Event
Petratos Y.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria game between Bentleigh Greens and Avondale FC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bentleigh Greens.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Bentleigh Greens
30%
Draws
34%
Avondale FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bentleigh Greens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Avondale FC come out ahead of Bentleigh Greens on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bentleigh Greens's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular NPL Victoria form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bentleigh Greens Clean Sheet 10%
Avondale FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bentleigh Greens Avondale FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.63 3
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NPL Victoria
Avondale FC vs Bentleigh Greens
4:0
Feb 20, 2026 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Avondale FC
2:0
Aug 19, 2023 NPL Victoria
Avondale FC vs Bentleigh Greens
2:1
May 12, 2023 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Avondale FC
0:4
May 21, 2022 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Avondale FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bentleigh Greens Compare

Top Goalscorer Petratos Y.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Avondale FC Compare

Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bentleigh Greens 34 / 100
Avondale FC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bentleigh Greens Avondale FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avondale FC let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Avondale FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Bentleigh Greens scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bentleigh Greens VS Avondale FC
0.63 Goals Scored 3
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bentleigh Greens

(Home)
24 Jul
Preston Lions
1 : 0
Bentleigh Greens
17 Jul
Bentleigh Greens
2 : 1
Dandenong City SC
11 Jul
Dandenong Thunder
2 : 1
Bentleigh Greens
03 Jul
Green Gully
3 : 0
Bentleigh Greens
26 Jun
Bentleigh Greens
0 : 1
Altona Magic
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Avondale FC

(Away)
25 Jul
Melbourne City U21
2 : 3
Avondale FC
18 Jul
Avondale FC
1 : 1
St Albans
10 Jul
Oakleigh Cannons
2 : 0
Avondale FC
04 Jul
Avondale FC
2 : 3
Preston Lions
26 Jun
Dandenong City SC
3 : 1
Avondale FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oakleigh Cannons22145345:2047
2Hume City22124642:2840
3Avondale FC22122857:3038
4Preston Lions21133531:1636
5South Melbourne22112933:3335
6Heidelberg Utd2297633:2634
7George Cross22710528:2831
8Melbourne City U212186739:2630
9St Albans2276927:3927
10Altona Magic22751026:3626
11Dandenong City SC2276927:2923
12Bentleigh Greens22541320:4619
13Dandenong Thunder22431523:4815
14Green Gully22351417:4314
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)