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Bentleigh Greens vs Brunswick City

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bentleigh Greens play Brunswick City in the Victoria Premier League 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bentleigh Greens averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. Brunswick City averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. In past meetings, Bentleigh Greens won 3, Brunswick City won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 25, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Bentleigh Greens and 2.56 for Brunswick City. This points to a Bentleigh Greens double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Bentleigh Greens
15%
Draws
41%
Brunswick City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bentleigh Greens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Bentleigh Greens picked up more points recently compared to Brunswick City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Bentleigh Greens Clean Sheet 10%
Brunswick City Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bentleigh Greens Brunswick City
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2025 Victoria Premier League
Bentleigh Greens vs Brunswick City
2:0
Apr 11, 2025 Victoria Premier League
Brunswick City vs Bentleigh Greens
2:0
Aug 17, 2024 Victoria Premier League
Brunswick City vs Bentleigh Greens
1:2
May 10, 2024 Victoria Premier League
Bentleigh Greens vs Brunswick City
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bentleigh Greens Compare

Top Goalscorer Okamoto R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ellis S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Brunswick City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bentleigh Greens 42 / 100
Brunswick City 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bentleigh Greens Brunswick City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bentleigh Greens or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bentleigh Greens attacking → ← attacking Brunswick City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bentleigh Greens scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Brunswick City let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Bentleigh Greens went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Brunswick City lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 36
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
3.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bentleigh Greens26184445:2058
2George Cross26190777:3557
3Melbourne City U2126166466:2854
4Western United U2126137661:5046
5Brunswick City26126843:3942
6North Sunshine Eagles261231151:4039
7Melbourne Srbija26107945:3837
8Bulleen261031335:4133
9Northcote City26951245:4432
10Langwarrin26921537:5429
11Manningham United Blues26671335:6525
12Eastern Lions26641636:5822
13Kingston City26561544:6921
14Moreland City26621836:7520