Sport Picks
Bentleigh Greens vs Heidelberg Utd Prediction & H2H Stats
Australia
NPL Victoria Kingston Heath Soccer Complex, Melbourne 
Match Events
41'
41'
Petratos Y.
55'
55'
McGowan J.
58'
58'
Humbert M.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Victoria game between Bentleigh Greens and Heidelberg Utd finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heidelberg Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Heidelberg Utd come out ahead of Bentleigh Greens on wins alone.
- Model gives Bentleigh Greens a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular NPL Victoria form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Bentleigh Greens Clean Sheet 20%
Heidelberg Utd Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bentleigh Greens | Heidelberg Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 NPL Victoria
Heidelberg Utd vs Bentleigh Greens
2:0
May 15, 2026 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Heidelberg Utd
2:2
Jun 24, 2023 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Heidelberg Utd
1:1
Mar 24, 2023 NPL Victoria
Heidelberg Utd vs Bentleigh Greens
3:1
Jun 5, 2022 NPL Victoria
Heidelberg Utd vs Bentleigh Greens
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bentleigh Greens Compare
Top Goalscorer Petratos Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Heidelberg Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer McGowan J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Humbert M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bentleigh Greens 49 / 100
Heidelberg Utd 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bentleigh Greens Heidelberg Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bentleigh Greens Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Heidelberg Utd conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: Bentleigh Greens remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Heidelberg Utd lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bentleigh Greens VS Heidelberg Utd
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bentleigh Greens
(Home) 29 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
2 : 0 Bentleigh Greens
22 Aug
Melbourne City U21
2 : 6 Bentleigh Greens
14 Aug
St Albans
1 : 1 Bentleigh Greens
31 Jul
Bentleigh Greens
0 : 0 Oakleigh Cannons
24 Jul
Preston Lions
1 : 0 Bentleigh Greens
Page 1 of 6
31 Jul
Bentleigh Greens
0 : 0 Oakleigh Cannons
17 Jul
Bentleigh Greens
2 : 1 Dandenong City SC
26 Jun
Bentleigh Greens
0 : 1 Altona Magic
19 Jun
Bentleigh Greens
1 : 5 South Melbourne
05 Jun
Bentleigh Greens
1 : 5 Hume City
Page 1 of 3
Heidelberg Utd
(Away) 06 Sept
South Melbourne
2 : 1 Heidelberg Utd
29 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
2 : 0 Bentleigh Greens
23 Aug
South Melbourne
1 : 2 Heidelberg Utd
15 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
4 : 5 Hume City
12 Aug
North Sunshine Eagles
1 : 0 Heidelberg Utd
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
South Melbourne
2 : 1 Heidelberg Utd
23 Aug
South Melbourne
1 : 2 Heidelberg Utd
12 Aug
North Sunshine Eagles
1 : 0 Heidelberg Utd
01 Aug
Avondale FC
2 : 1 Heidelberg Utd
21 Jul
Cumberland United
0 : 3 Heidelberg Utd
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 56:24 | 54 |
| 2 | Hume City | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 51:36 | 49 |
| 3 | Avondale FC | 26 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 65:34 | 47 |
| 4 | South Melbourne | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 5 | Heidelberg Utd | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 42:34 | 40 |
| 6 | Preston Lions | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 41:19 | 39 |
| 7 | George Cross | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 35:34 | 38 |
| 8 | St Albans | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36:43 | 34 |
| 9 | Dandenong City SC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:31 | 33 |
| 10 | Melbourne City U21 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:42 | 30 |
| 11 | Altona Magic | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:42 | 28 |
| 12 | Bentleigh Greens | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:51 | 24 |
| 13 | Green Gully | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:52 | 18 |
| 14 | Dandenong Thunder | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 23:65 | 15 |
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
