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Berazategui vs Leandro N. Alem

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Mino B.
33' Event
Duarte B.
45' Event
Pombo N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Primera C game between Berazategui and Leandro N. Alem finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Berazategui.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Berazategui
22%
Draws
18%
Leandro N. Alem
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Berazategui

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Berazategui come out ahead of Leandro N. Alem on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Berazategui taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Berazategui Clean Sheet 68%
Leandro N. Alem Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berazategui Leandro N. Alem
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Primera C
Leandro N. Alem vs Berazategui
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Primera C
Berazategui vs Leandro N. Alem
5:1
Oct 18, 2025 Primera C
Berazategui vs Leandro N. Alem
1:2
Oct 12, 2025 Primera C
Leandro N. Alem vs Berazategui
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Primera C
Berazategui vs Leandro N. Alem
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berazategui Compare

Top Goalscorer Mino B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Duarte B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Leandro N. Alem Compare

Top Goalscorer Pertossi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berazategui 68 / 100
Leandro N. Alem 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berazategui Leandro N. Alem

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Berazategui scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Leandro N. Alem has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Berazategui went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Berazategui VS Leandro N. Alem
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sacachispas19104524:1434
2Berazategui1988323:1432
3CSR Espanol1986526:1730
4CA Lugano2078524:1929
5Puerto Nuevo2078518:1929
6Estrella Del Sur1977521:1728
7Victoriano Arenas2069517:1327
8Mercedes1968519:1126
9Leandro N. Alem1975724:3226
10Juventud Unida San Miguel1957718:1922
11Defensores de Cambaceres2057815:2122
12Argentino de Rosario20211719:2617
13Justo Jose de Urquiza1921076:1816
14Deportivo Paraguayo1937910:2516
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canuelas1989222:1233
2Club Lujan1996422:1433
3Leones de Rosario1978419:1729
4Yupanqui2077624:2128
5Deportivo Espanol20610417:1428
6General Lamadrid2077618:2028
7El Porvenir19413215:1325
8Sportivo Barracas2074922:2125
9Atlas1967616:1725
10CSD Central Ballester1964918:2122
11Claypole1956815:2321
12Central Cordoba (Rosario)1948712:1520
13Fenix20551013:2120
14Deportivo Muniz1939714:1718