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Berekum Chelsea vs Heart of Lions

Ghana Ghana

Premier League Golden City Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Berekum Chelsea play Heart of Lions in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Berekum Chelsea averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. Heart of Lions averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Berekum Chelsea won 2, Heart of Lions won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 15, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Berekum Chelsea and 0.75 for Heart of Lions. This points to a Berekum Chelsea double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Berekum Chelsea
22%
Draws
32%
Heart of Lions
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Berekum Chelsea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Berekum Chelsea picked up more points recently compared to Heart of Lions.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Berekum Chelsea Clean Sheet 27%
Heart of Lions Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berekum Chelsea Heart of Lions
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Premier League
Berekum Chelsea vs Heart of Lions
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League
Heart of Lions vs Berekum Chelsea
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Premier League
Berekum Chelsea vs Heart of Lions
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 Premier League
Heart of Lions vs Berekum Chelsea
1:0
Jun 16, 2024 Premier League
Berekum Chelsea vs Heart of Lions
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berekum Chelsea Compare

Top Goalscorer Attuquaye J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Heart of Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Dogli E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berekum Chelsea 47 / 100
Heart of Lions 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berekum Chelsea Heart of Lions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Berekum Chelsea or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Berekum Chelsea attacking → ← attacking Heart of Lions

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berekum Chelsea scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Heart of Lions let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Berekum Chelsea went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Heart of Lions lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 37
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Medeama341711652:2862
2Bibiani Gold Stars341931246:4060
3Hearts of Oak341315625:1554
4Dreams FC341571249:3252
5Samartex3413111026:2550
6Aduana Stars3413111029:2450
7Berekum Chelsea341481235:3350
8Asante Kotoko3413101141:2949
9Karela3413101132:3349
10Bechem United341381338:3947
11Vision3412111138:3447
12Holy Stars341371430:3946
13Young Apostles341291337:3745
14Heart of Lions341291336:3345
15Swedru All Blacks341291334:3145
16Nations FC341281430:3144
17Hohoe United34791822:5030
18Eleven Wonders34342726:7313