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Bergantinos vs Cerceda

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Bergantinos
30%
Draws
12%
Cerceda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bergantinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bergantinos lately — more wins on the board than Cerceda.
  • Win probability leans Bergantinos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cerceda have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 19%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergantinos Cerceda
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 1
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.38 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Cerceda
0:0
Dec 11, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Bergantinos
1:0
Feb 27, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Bergantinos
2:1
Oct 10, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Cerceda
0:1
Jan 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Bergantinos
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergantinos 85 / 100
Cerceda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergantinos Cerceda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergantinos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerceda has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Bergantinos found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bergantinos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bergantinos VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergantinos

(Home)
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Bergantinos
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2
Bergantinos
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Cerceda

(Away)
13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2
CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0
Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2
Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
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