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Bergantinos vs Dorneda

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2012/2013 game between Bergantinos and Dorneda finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bergantinos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bergantinos
20%
Draws
33%
Dorneda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bergantinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bergantinos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bergantinos a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 19%
Dorneda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergantinos Dorneda
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.38 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Dorneda
2:0
Dec 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dorneda vs Bergantinos
2:0
Mar 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Dorneda
3:1
Oct 29, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dorneda vs Bergantinos
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergantinos 85 / 100
Dorneda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergantinos Dorneda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergantinos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bergantinos's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Dorneda let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bergantinos stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bergantinos VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergantinos

(Home)
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Bergantinos
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2
Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6

Dorneda

(Away)
11 May
Dorneda
1 : 1
Pontevedra
04 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 1
Dorneda
27 Apr
Dorneda
2 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
17 Apr
Rapido de Bouzas
2 : 1
Dorneda
13 Apr
Dorneda
1 : 0
Alondras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Club Ferrol 38 32 1 5 98:22 97
2 Celta Vigo B 38 22 11 5 75:34 77
3 Compostela 38 21 10 7 64:28 73
4 Deportivo Fabril 38 21 8 9 76:33 71
5 Pontevedra 38 17 12 9 57:45 63
6 CD AS Pontes 38 18 5 15 56:53 59
7 SD Ordenes 38 14 13 11 45:38 55
8 Rapido de Bouzas 38 14 10 14 39:53 52
9 Alondras 38 14 10 14 48:45 52
10 Racing Club Villalbes 38 12 12 14 45:42 48
11 Cerceda 38 12 12 14 35:44 48
12 Somozas 38 11 14 13 41:45 47
13 Betanzos CF 38 13 8 17 48:61 47
14 Barbadas-Bentraces 38 12 11 15 39:47 47
15 SD Negreira 38 12 9 17 37:56 45
16 Dorneda 38 13 6 19 37:55 45
17 Villalonga 38 11 12 15 44:50 45
18 Bergantinos 38 8 6 24 28:63 30
19 Celtiga 38 5 10 23 28:71 25
20 Naron 38 4 8 26 30:85 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)