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Bergantinos vs Marino De Luanco

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Basurto A.

AI Match Summary

Bergantinos host Marino De Luanco in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Bergantinos at 1.38 goals for, 1.13 against; Marino De Luanco at 0.88 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, Bergantinos have won 1 to Marino De Luanco's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.00, favoring Bergantinos. Bergantinos in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Bergantinos
30%
Draws
34%
Marino De Luanco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bergantinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Bergantinos has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Marino De Luanco.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Bergantinos.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 68%
Marino De Luanco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergantinos Marino De Luanco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Marino De Luanco
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Marino De Luanco vs Bergantinos
1:1
Sep 10, 2025 Copa Federacion
Bergantinos vs Marino De Luanco
4:2
Apr 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Marino De Luanco vs Bergantinos
1:1
Dec 8, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Marino De Luanco
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergantinos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Marino De Luanco Compare

Top Goalscorer Basurto A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergantinos 46 / 100
Marino De Luanco 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergantinos Marino De Luanco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bergantinos scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Marino De Luanco let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Bergantinos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Marino De Luanco lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bergantinos VS Marino De Luanco
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Fabril34209559:2269
2Real Oviedo B341610850:3558
3Numancia341511846:3156
4UD Ourense341510940:3455
5Coruxo FC341571246:3752
6Gimnastica Segoviana341491137:3651
7Real Avila341481248:5250
8Salamanca CF UDS341481243:3650
9Rayo Cantabria341115863:5048
10Bergantinos341391244:3748
11Atletico Astorga341291341:4345
12Marino De Luanco3411121131:2645
13Valladolid Promesas341291359:5845
14Langreo3411101335:4143
15Sarriana341171642:4240
16Burgos CF B348121438:5536
17Lealtad34772031:5428
18UD Samano34362523:8715