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Bergdalens IK vs BK Astrio Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Petersson I.
48' Event
Petersson I.
49' Event
Petersson I.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 game between Bergdalens IK and BK Astrio finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BK Astrio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bergdalens IK
15%
Draws
85%
BK Astrio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BK Astrio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bergdalens IK have managed 1.1 goals a game lately — BK Astrio are scoring more at 1.14.
  • Win probability leans BK Astrio's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and BK Astrio have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Bergdalens IK Clean Sheet 23%
BK Astrio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergdalens IK BK Astrio
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 4
Draws 3 3
Losses 23 22
Goals Scored 1.1 1.14
Goals Conceded 3.57 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Bergdalens IK vs BK Astrio
0:5
May 18, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
BK Astrio vs Bergdalens IK
6:0
Sep 14, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
BK Astrio vs Bergdalens IK
4:0
May 19, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Bergdalens IK vs BK Astrio
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergdalens IK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

BK Astrio Compare

Top Goalscorer Petersson I.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gulda P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergdalens IK 10 / 100
BK Astrio 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergdalens IK BK Astrio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BK Astrio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BK Astrio has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Bergdalens IK scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: BK Astrio registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS BK Astrio
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergdalens IK

(Home)
19 Oct
Bergdalens IK
0 : 5
BK Astrio
12 Oct
Varbergs GIF
1 : 0
Bergdalens IK
05 Oct
Bergdalens IK
2 : 3
Frolunda
28 Sept
Onsala
8 : 2
Bergdalens IK
21 Sept
Bergdalens IK
0 : 1
Boljan
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BK Astrio

(Away)
26 Sept
Galtabacks
3 : 6
BK Astrio
19 Sept
BK Astrio
0 : 2
Onsala
12 Sept
Kongahalla
5 : 1
BK Astrio
06 Sept
BK Astrio
1 : 2
Astorps
30 Aug
Jonsereds
4 : 2
BK Astrio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laholms 26 19 3 4 69:33 60
2 Tvaaker 26 17 6 3 70:24 57
3 Astorps 26 13 6 7 43:32 45
4 Onsala 26 13 5 8 64:41 44
5 Frolunda 26 13 3 10 50:50 42
6 Lindome 26 13 2 11 63:54 41
7 Qviding 26 11 5 10 57:48 38
8 Jonsereds 26 10 8 8 48:48 38
9 BK Astrio 26 10 6 10 55:44 36
10 Landvetter 26 10 3 13 47:55 33
11 Hestrafors 26 6 8 12 40:48 26
12 Boljan 26 6 5 15 33:59 23
13 Varbergs GIF 26 7 1 18 29:58 22
14 Bergdalens IK 26 2 3 21 25:99 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 (Relegation)