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Bergheim vs UFV Thalgau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Salzburg 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Salzburg 2021/2022 game between Bergheim and UFV Thalgau finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UFV Thalgau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Bergheim
15%
Draws
42%
UFV Thalgau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bergheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • UFV Thalgau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Bergheim taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Bergheim Clean Sheet 10%
UFV Thalgau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergheim UFV Thalgau
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 9
Draws 2 5
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 1.23 2.06
Goals Conceded 3.13 2.65
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2023 Salzburg
Bergheim vs UFV Thalgau
1:4
Sep 17, 2022 Salzburg
UFV Thalgau vs Bergheim
7:2
Jun 3, 2022 Salzburg
Bergheim vs UFV Thalgau
0:2
Oct 23, 2021 Salzburg
UFV Thalgau vs Bergheim
2:7
Aug 21, 2020 Salzburg
Bergheim vs UFV Thalgau
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergheim 34 / 100
UFV Thalgau 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergheim UFV Thalgau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UFV Thalgau has conceded goals in 94% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 6.20 goals as a typical output.

Bergheim's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

UFV Thalgau lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS UFV Thalgau
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 3.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergheim

(Home)
15 Feb
SAK 1914
3 : 0
Bergheim
10 Jun
Bergheim
0 : 4
Eugendorf
03 Jun
Schwarzach
2 : 5
Bergheim
26 May
Bergheim
1 : 3
Puch
17 May
Strasswalchen
3 : 2
Bergheim
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UFV Thalgau

(Away)
04 Oct
SC Golling
1 : 2
UFV Thalgau
24 Sept
SAK 1914
2 : 0
UFV Thalgau
18 Sept
UFV Thalgau
1 : 3
Neumarkt
13 Sept
ATSV Salzburg
3 : 1
UFV Thalgau
08 Sept
Strasswalchen
5 : 0
UFV Thalgau
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