Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bergisch Gladbach vs Frechen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 game between Bergisch Gladbach and Frechen finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bergisch Gladbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bergisch Gladbach
20%
Draws
34%
Frechen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bergisch Gladbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Medium Confidence
  • Bergisch Gladbach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bergisch Gladbach have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Bergisch Gladbach Clean Sheet 11%
Frechen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergisch Gladbach Frechen
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 21 16
Draws 7 2
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 4.13 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 4.13 2.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bergisch Gladbach vs Frechen
4:1
Nov 16, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs Bergisch Gladbach
0:2
Mar 23, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bergisch Gladbach vs Frechen
1:1
Sep 8, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs Bergisch Gladbach
0:4
Mar 10, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs Bergisch Gladbach
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergisch Gladbach 35 / 100
Frechen 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergisch Gladbach Frechen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bergisch Gladbach found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Frechen conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Bergisch Gladbach has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bergisch Gladbach VS Frechen
4.13 Goals Scored 2.43
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.29
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 71%
75% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergisch Gladbach

(Home)
01 Aug
Bergisch Gladbach
1 : 1
SG Wattenscheid
26 Jul
Bergisch Gladbach
4 : 1
Juchen-Garzweiler
23 Jul
Bergisch Gladbach
0 : 8
1. FC Koln
17 Jul
Bergisch Gladbach
4 : 1
Hilden
11 Jul
Germania Ratingen
2 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
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Frechen

(Away)
01 Aug
FC Monheim
5 : 0
Frechen
07 Jun
Frechen
7 : 1
Teutonia Weiden
31 May
SpVg Porz 1919
1 : 4
Frechen
25 May
Frechen
2 : 4
FC Wegberg-Beeck
17 May
Bergisch Gladbach
4 : 1
Frechen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergisch Gladbach 30 20 7 3 85:28 67
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 20 4 6 86:36 64
3 Siegburger 30 19 5 6 75:34 62
4 Merten 30 18 6 6 80:28 60
5 VfL Vichttal 30 18 5 7 80:43 59
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 6 9 62:35 51
7 Frechen 30 16 2 12 66:54 50
8 Bornheim 30 14 4 12 65:56 46
9 Konigsdorf 30 14 4 12 53:54 46
10 Fortuna Koln II 30 13 6 11 62:47 45
11 1. FC Duren 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
12 Hennef 30 11 2 17 45:66 35
13 SpVg Porz 1919 30 7 4 19 58:99 25
14 Teutonia Weiden 30 4 4 22 25:104 16
15 Sportfreunde Duren 30 4 2 24 41:103 14
16 Pesch 30 2 2 26 26:112 8
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)