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Bergisch Gladbach vs Frechen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 game between Bergisch Gladbach and Frechen finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bergisch Gladbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bergisch Gladbach
20%
Draws
29%
Frechen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bergisch Gladbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bergisch Gladbach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bergisch Gladbach's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bergisch Gladbach have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Bergisch Gladbach Clean Sheet 15%
Frechen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergisch Gladbach Frechen
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 22 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.79 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bergisch Gladbach vs Frechen
4:1
Nov 16, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs Bergisch Gladbach
0:2
Mar 23, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bergisch Gladbach vs Frechen
1:1
Sep 8, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs Bergisch Gladbach
0:4
Mar 10, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs Bergisch Gladbach
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergisch Gladbach 66 / 100
Frechen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergisch Gladbach Frechen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergisch Gladbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bergisch Gladbach found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (34 games).

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Frechen conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Bergisch Gladbach has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bergisch Gladbach VS Frechen
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergisch Gladbach

(Home)
03 Oct
Hilden
4 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
26 Sept
Bergisch Gladbach
4 : 2
Westfalia Rhynern
19 Sept
Bonner
3 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
13 Sept
Koln II
1 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
06 Sept
Bergisch Gladbach
1 : 0
Bochum II
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Frechen

(Away)
04 Oct
Frechen
1 : 0
VfL Vichttal
27 Sept
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
2 : 2
Frechen
20 Sept
Frechen
2 : 2
Siegburger
13 Sept
Fortuna Koln II
5 : 2
Frechen
06 Sept
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
3 : 1
Frechen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergisch Gladbach 30 20 7 3 85:28 67
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 20 4 6 86:36 64
3 Siegburger 30 19 5 6 75:34 62
4 Merten 30 18 6 6 80:28 60
5 VfL Vichttal 30 18 5 7 80:43 59
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 6 9 62:35 51
7 Frechen 30 16 2 12 66:54 50
8 Bornheim 30 14 4 12 65:56 46
9 Konigsdorf 30 14 4 12 53:54 46
10 Fortuna Koln II 30 13 6 11 62:47 45
11 1. FC Duren 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
12 Hennef 30 11 2 17 45:66 35
13 SpVg Porz 1919 30 7 4 19 58:99 25
14 Teutonia Weiden 30 4 4 22 25:104 16
15 Sportfreunde Duren 30 4 2 24 41:103 14
16 Pesch 30 2 2 26 26:112 8
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)