Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bergisch Gladbach vs Merten

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Mittelrhein matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bergisch Gladbach
6%
Draws
90%
Merten
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Merten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bergisch Gladbach have won more games recently than Merten.
  • Model gives Merten a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Bergisch Gladbach Clean Sheet 10%
Merten Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergisch Gladbach Merten
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 22 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 4.13 4.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 4.13 4.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs Bergisch Gladbach
4:1
Nov 9, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bergisch Gladbach vs Merten
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bergisch Gladbach vs Merten
2:1
Aug 25, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs Bergisch Gladbach
1:1
Jan 28, 2024 Club Friendly
Merten vs Bergisch Gladbach
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergisch Gladbach 10 / 100
Merten 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergisch Gladbach Merten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bergisch Gladbach scored in 91% of their last 33 games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Merten has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Bergisch Gladbach went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bergisch Gladbach VS Merten
4.13 Goals Scored 4.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergisch Gladbach

(Home)
26 Jul
Bergisch Gladbach
4 : 1
Juchen-Garzweiler
23 Jul
Bergisch Gladbach
0 : 8
1. FC Koln
17 Jul
Bergisch Gladbach
4 : 1
Hilden
11 Jul
Germania Ratingen
2 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
10 Jul
Uerdingen
1 : 4
Bergisch Gladbach
Page 1 of 7

Merten

(Away)
07 Jun
Merten
5 : 1
Siegburger
31 May
Teutonia Weiden
0 : 10
Merten
22 May
Merten
8 : 3
SpVg Porz 1919
17 May
FC Wegberg-Beeck
2 : 2
Merten
10 May
Merten
4 : 1
Bergisch Gladbach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bergisch Gladbach30207385:2867
2Eintracht Hohkeppel30204686:3664
3Siegburger30195675:3462
4Merten30186680:2860
5VfL Vichttal30185780:4359
6FC Wegberg-Beeck30156962:3551
7Frechen301621266:5450
8Bornheim301441265:5646
9Konigsdorf301441253:5446
10Fortuna Koln II301361162:4745
111. FC Duren301151449:5938
12Hennef301121745:6635
13SpVg Porz 191930741958:9925
14Teutonia Weiden30442225:10416
15Sportfreunde Duren30422441:10314
16Pesch30222626:1128
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)