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Stadium Background

Bergisch Gladbach vs SSVg Velbert

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Stromberg F.
25' Event
Stromberg F.
31' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Bergisch Gladbach and SSVg Velbert finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bergisch Gladbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bergisch Gladbach
6%
Draws
4%
SSVg Velbert
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bergisch Gladbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bergisch Gladbach come out ahead of SSVg Velbert on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bergisch Gladbach a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Bergisch Gladbach Clean Sheet 15%
SSVg Velbert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergisch Gladbach SSVg Velbert
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 20 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 3 17
Goals Scored 4.38 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 4.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Bergisch Gladbach vs SSVg Velbert
2:1
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Bergisch Gladbach vs SSVg Velbert
1:1
Aug 1, 2021 Club Friendly
SSVg Velbert vs Bergisch Gladbach
1:3
Mar 9, 2013 Regionalliga West
Bergisch Gladbach vs SSVg Velbert
0:2
Sep 22, 2012 Regionalliga West
SSVg Velbert vs Bergisch Gladbach
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergisch Gladbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Stromberg F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.37
Avg xA / game 2.19

SSVg Velbert Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergisch Gladbach 84 / 100
SSVg Velbert 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergisch Gladbach SSVg Velbert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bergisch Gladbach's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

SSVg Velbert let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Bergisch Gladbach has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bergisch Gladbach VS SSVg Velbert
4.38 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergisch Gladbach

(Home)
17 Jul
Bergisch Gladbach
4 : 1
Hilden
11 Jul
Germania Ratingen
2 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
10 Jul
Uerdingen
1 : 4
Bergisch Gladbach
05 Jul
Bergisch Gladbach
2 : 1
SSVg Velbert
07 Jun
Bergisch Gladbach
10 : 0
SpVg Porz 1919
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SSVg Velbert

(Away)
12 Jul
Sprockhovel
2 : 6
SSVg Velbert
05 Jul
Bergisch Gladbach
2 : 1
SSVg Velbert
16 May
Siegen
3 : 1
SSVg Velbert
08 May
SSVg Velbert
1 : 3
Paderborn II
02 May
Wiedenbruck
1 : 0
SSVg Velbert
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