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Bergisch Gladbach vs SSVg Velbert Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Stromberg F.
25' Event
Stromberg F.
31' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Bergisch Gladbach and SSVg Velbert finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bergisch Gladbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Bergisch Gladbach
15%
Draws
36%
SSVg Velbert
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bergisch Gladbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bergisch Gladbach come out ahead of SSVg Velbert on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Bergisch Gladbach Clean Sheet 10%
SSVg Velbert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergisch Gladbach SSVg Velbert
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 20 11
Draws 4 2
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.77 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.61 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Bergisch Gladbach vs SSVg Velbert
2:1
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Bergisch Gladbach vs SSVg Velbert
1:1
Aug 1, 2021 Club Friendly
SSVg Velbert vs Bergisch Gladbach
1:3
Mar 9, 2013 Regionalliga West
Bergisch Gladbach vs SSVg Velbert
0:2
Sep 22, 2012 Regionalliga West
SSVg Velbert vs Bergisch Gladbach
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergisch Gladbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Stromberg F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

SSVg Velbert Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergisch Gladbach 29 / 100
SSVg Velbert 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergisch Gladbach SSVg Velbert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergisch Gladbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bergisch Gladbach's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

SSVg Velbert let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Bergisch Gladbach has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bergisch Gladbach VS SSVg Velbert
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergisch Gladbach

(Home)
26 Sept
Bergisch Gladbach
4 : 2
Westfalia Rhynern
19 Sept
Bonner
3 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
13 Sept
Koln II
1 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
06 Sept
Bergisch Gladbach
1 : 0
Bochum II
02 Sept
Lotte
0 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
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SSVg Velbert

(Away)
27 Sept
SSVg Velbert
5 : 1
Dingden
20 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 3
SSVg Velbert
12 Sept
SSVg Velbert
2 : 1
Buderich
06 Sept
Sonsbeck
4 : 2
SSVg Velbert
28 Aug
SSVg Velbert
3 : 5
Schonnebeck
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