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Bergisch Gladbach vs VfL Alfter - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein 2021/2022 game between Bergisch Gladbach and VfL Alfter finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bergisch Gladbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Bergisch Gladbach
15%
Draws
37%
VfL Alfter
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bergisch Gladbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Bergisch Gladbach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bergisch Gladbach's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bergisch Gladbach have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Bergisch Gladbach Clean Sheet 17%
VfL Alfter Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergisch Gladbach VfL Alfter
Matches Played 39 29
Wins 23 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.62 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.49 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bergisch Gladbach vs VfL Alfter
3:1
Nov 7, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein
VfL Alfter vs Bergisch Gladbach
0:5
May 12, 2019 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bergisch Gladbach vs VfL Alfter
4:0
Oct 28, 2018 Oberliga Mittelrhein
VfL Alfter vs Bergisch Gladbach
2:4
May 13, 2018 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bergisch Gladbach vs VfL Alfter
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergisch Gladbach 41 / 100
VfL Alfter 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergisch Gladbach VfL Alfter

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bergisch Gladbach scored in 85% of their last 39 games.

VfL Alfter's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bergisch Gladbach remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bergisch Gladbach VS -
3.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergisch Gladbach

(Home)
03 Oct
Hilden
4 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
26 Sept
Bergisch Gladbach
4 : 2
Westfalia Rhynern
19 Sept
Bonner
3 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
13 Sept
Koln II
1 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
06 Sept
Bergisch Gladbach
1 : 0
Bochum II
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VfL Alfter

(Away)
07 Feb
VfL Alfter
4 : 2
Eintracht Hohkeppel
13 Aug
Bonner
2 : 2
VfL Alfter
03 Aug
VfL Alfter
1 : 2
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
25 Jul
VfL Alfter
3 : 1
Wachtberg
12 Jun
VfL Alfter
0 : 2
Siegburger
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