Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bergnasets AIK vs Boden

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
Bergnasets AIK Logo

Bergnasets AIK

3 - 0
FT
Boden Logo

Boden

Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Roberts W.
53' Event
Johnson P. I.
72'
Bayeke S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bergnasets AIK in this Division 2 - Norrland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bergnasets AIK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bergnasets AIK
20%
Draws
40%
Boden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Boden have won more games recently than Bergnasets AIK.
  • Model gives Bergnasets AIK a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Bergnasets AIK Clean Sheet 20%
Boden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergnasets AIK Boden
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Boden
3:0
Sep 3, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Bergnasets AIK
2:2
Jun 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Bergnasets AIK
2:1
May 9, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Boden
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Boden
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergnasets AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberts W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Johnson P. I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Boden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergnasets AIK 58 / 100
Boden 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergnasets AIK Boden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergnasets AIK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Bergnasets AIK scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Boden let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Away concern: Boden has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Boden
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergnasets AIK

(Home)
15 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 0
Boden
11 Oct
Taftea IK
3 : 0
Bergnasets AIK
04 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 4
Friska Viljor
27 Sept
Kiruna
4 : 4
Bergnasets AIK
20 Sept
Bergnasets AIK
1 : 2
Lucksta IF
Page 1 of 6

Boden

(Away)
19 Sept
Boden
0 : 2
Skelleftea
16 Sept
Boden
1 : 0
IFK Lulea
12 Sept
Kubikenborgs
6 : 1
Boden
05 Sept
Boden
1 : 2
Kubikenborgs
29 Aug
Skelleftea
2 : 2
Boden
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friska Viljor 12 8 0 4 33:27 28
2 Boden 12 6 1 5 21:22 23
3 Taftea IK 12 7 1 4 22:15 22
4 Lucksta IF 12 6 0 6 23:23 20
5 Kiruna 12 4 3 5 19:19 17
6 Bergnasets AIK 12 3 2 7 24:30 17
7 Boden City 12 4 1 7 18:24 13
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation)