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Bergnasets AIK vs Friska Viljor Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Wallberg S.
42' Event
Burman I.
55' Event
Siljander F.

AI Match Summary

Friska Viljor in this Division 2 - Norrland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Friska Viljor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Bergnasets AIK
15%
Draws
59%
Friska Viljor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Friska Viljor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Friska Viljor lately — more wins on the board than Bergnasets AIK.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Friska Viljor here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Bergnasets AIK Clean Sheet 20%
Friska Viljor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergnasets AIK Friska Viljor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.5 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Friska Viljor
3:4
Aug 17, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Friska Viljor vs Bergnasets AIK
5:2
Sep 9, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
Friska Viljor vs Bergnasets AIK
4:1
May 13, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Friska Viljor
1:2
Oct 8, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Friska Viljor
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergnasets AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Burman I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johnson P. I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Friska Viljor Compare

Top Goalscorer Siljander F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wallberg S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergnasets AIK 36 / 100
Friska Viljor 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergnasets AIK Friska Viljor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Friska Viljor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Friska Viljor has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Bergnasets AIK scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Bergnasets AIK stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Friska Viljor
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergnasets AIK

(Home)
15 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 0
Boden
11 Oct
Taftea IK
3 : 0
Bergnasets AIK
04 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 4
Friska Viljor
27 Sept
Kiruna
4 : 4
Bergnasets AIK
20 Sept
Bergnasets AIK
1 : 2
Lucksta IF
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Friska Viljor

(Away)
26 Sept
Storfors AIK
0 : 3
Friska Viljor
19 Sept
Friska Viljor
3 : 0
Fransta IK
12 Sept
Friska Viljor
1 : 5
Umea FC Akademi
05 Sept
IFK Umea
2 : 3
Friska Viljor
29 Aug
Friska Viljor
1 : 4
Umea FF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friska Viljor 12 8 0 4 33:27 28
2 Boden 12 6 1 5 21:22 23
3 Taftea IK 12 7 1 4 22:15 22
4 Lucksta IF 12 6 0 6 23:23 20
5 Kiruna 12 4 3 5 19:19 17
6 Bergnasets AIK 12 3 2 7 24:30 17
7 Boden City 12 4 1 7 18:24 13
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation)