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Stadium Background

Bergnasets AIK vs Pitea

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Own Goal
43'
Johansson F.
59' Event
Warell M.

AI Match Summary

Bergnasets AIK in this Division 2 - Norrland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bergnasets AIK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bergnasets AIK
20%
Draws
40%
Pitea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Bergnasets AIK average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Pitea's 1.33.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Bergnasets AIK Clean Sheet 18%
Pitea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergnasets AIK Pitea
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Pitea
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Pitea vs Bergnasets AIK
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergnasets AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Warell M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Pitea Compare

Top Goalscorer Lundback J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergnasets AIK 32 / 100
Pitea 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergnasets AIK Pitea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pitea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pitea conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Bergnasets AIK found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Pitea's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pitea
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergnasets AIK

(Home)
15 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 0
Boden
11 Oct
Taftea IK
3 : 0
Bergnasets AIK
04 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 4
Friska Viljor
27 Sept
Kiruna
4 : 4
Bergnasets AIK
20 Sept
Bergnasets AIK
1 : 2
Lucksta IF
Page 1 of 6

Pitea

(Away)
13 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 0
Pitea
06 Sept
Pitea
3 : 0
Karlbergs
30 Aug
FBK Karlstad
4 : 3
Pitea
23 Aug
Hammarby TFF
1 : 1
Pitea
20 Aug
Pitea
0 : 3
AIK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pitea 12 9 2 1 32:12 29
2 Skelleftea 12 7 2 3 24:16 23
3 IFK Lulea 12 6 4 2 21:11 22
4 Bergnasets AIK 12 3 4 5 12:20 13
5 Boden 12 3 3 6 10:20 12
6 Kiruna 12 1 5 6 13:23 8
7 Boden City 12 1 4 7 12:22 7
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IFK Ostersund 12 9 1 2 39:18 28
2 Umea FC Akademi 12 8 0 4 32:19 24
3 Kubikenborgs 12 7 0 5 20:22 21
4 Gottne IF 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
5 Friska Viljor 12 5 0 7 24:25 15
6 Lucksta IF 12 3 1 8 19:30 10
7 Taftea IK 12 2 3 7 11:28 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)