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Berkane vs Union Touarga

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro Stade Municipal de Berkane
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Aabid R.
Assist: Bassene P.
19'
Manaout H.
21'
Boukhriss E. T.

AI Match Summary

The Botola Pro game between Berkane and Union Touarga finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Berkane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Berkane
33%
Draws
27%
Union Touarga
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Berkane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Berkane carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Berkane taking it.
  • Regular Botola Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Berkane Clean Sheet 68%
Union Touarga Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berkane Union Touarga
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 9 12
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Botola Pro
Berkane vs Union Touarga
4:3
Oct 5, 2025 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Berkane
2:2
Mar 15, 2025 Botola Pro
Berkane vs Union Touarga
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Berkane
0:1
Feb 14, 2024 Botola Pro
Berkane vs Union Touarga
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berkane Compare

Top Goalscorer Aabid R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mehri Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Union Touarga Compare

Top Goalscorer Ashabi M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Moustaghfir N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berkane 50 / 100
Union Touarga 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berkane Union Touarga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Berkane scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Union Touarga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Berkane went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Berkane VS Union Touarga
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maghreb Fez301611340:1759
2Berkane30169544:2757
3Raja Casablanca30168639:1956
4FAR Rabat301316145:2255
5Wydad Athletic301341339:3343
6Difaa El Jadidi30913830:3440
7IR Tanger30912927:3139
8FUS Rabat309101131:3637
9Kawkab Marrakech308121027:2636
10COD Meknes30991224:3336
11Renaissance Zemamra30891328:3733
12Hassania Agadir30891327:3933
13Union Touarga306131132:4031
14Yacoub El Mansour30791434:4430
15Dcheira30791429:4030
16Olympique de Safi303131424:4222