Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Berkane vs Union Touarga

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro 2025/2026 Stade Municipal de Berkane, Berkane
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Aabid R.
Assist: Bassene P.
19'
Manaout H.
21'
Boukhriss E. T.

AI Match Summary

The Botola Pro 2025/2026 game between Berkane and Union Touarga finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Berkane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Berkane
30%
Draws
37%
Union Touarga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Touarga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Berkane carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Berkane taking it.
  • Regular Botola Pro 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Berkane Clean Sheet 20%
Union Touarga Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berkane Union Touarga
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Botola Pro
Berkane vs Union Touarga
4:3
Oct 5, 2025 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Berkane
2:2
Mar 15, 2025 Botola Pro
Berkane vs Union Touarga
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Berkane
0:1
Feb 14, 2024 Botola Pro
Berkane vs Union Touarga
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berkane Compare

Top Goalscorer Aabid R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mehri Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Union Touarga Compare

Top Goalscorer Ashabi M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Moustaghfir N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berkane 36 / 100
Union Touarga 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berkane Union Touarga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Berkane scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Union Touarga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Berkane went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Berkane VS Union Touarga
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Berkane

(Home)
05 Jul
Difaa El Jadidi
1 : 3
Berkane
02 Jul
Berkane
2 : 0
Wydad Athletic
28 Jun
FUS Rabat
2 : 1
Berkane
25 Jun
Berkane
2 : 2
FAR Rabat
21 Jun
Maghreb Fez
1 : 2
Berkane
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Union Touarga

(Away)
21 Jul
Union Touarga
3 : 0
Jeunesse Massira
17 Jul
Jeunesse Massira
1 : 1
Union Touarga
05 Jul
Wydad Athletic
1 : 2
Union Touarga
02 Jul
Union Touarga
1 : 0
IR Tanger
28 Jun
FAR Rabat
2 : 2
Union Touarga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maghreb Fez 30 16 11 3 40:17 59
2 Berkane 30 16 9 5 44:27 57
3 Raja Casablanca 30 16 8 6 39:19 56
4 FAR Rabat 30 13 16 1 45:22 55
5 Wydad Athletic 30 13 4 13 39:33 43
6 Difaa El Jadidi 30 9 13 8 30:34 40
7 IR Tanger 30 9 12 9 27:31 39
8 FUS Rabat 30 9 10 11 31:36 37
9 Kawkab Marrakech 30 8 12 10 27:26 36
10 COD Meknes 30 9 9 12 24:33 36
11 Renaissance Zemamra 30 8 9 13 28:37 33
12 Hassania Agadir 30 8 9 13 27:39 33
13 Union Touarga 30 6 13 11 32:40 31
14 Dcheira 30 7 9 14 29:40 30
15 Yacoub El Mansour 30 7 9 14 34:44 30
16 Olympique de Safi 30 3 13 14 24:42 22
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Main)