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Berkhamsted Town vs Hanworth Villa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Casey J.
16' Event
Casey J.
86' Event
Blake R.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Berkhamsted Town and Hanworth Villa finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hanworth Villa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Berkhamsted Town
15%
Draws
49%
Hanworth Villa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hanworth Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Berkhamsted Town come out ahead of Hanworth Villa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hanworth Villa a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Berkhamsted Town Clean Sheet 15%
Hanworth Villa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berkhamsted Town Hanworth Villa
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 16 15
Draws 1 3
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.65 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Berkhamsted Town vs Hanworth Villa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berkhamsted Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Blake R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Hanworth Villa Compare

Top Goalscorer Casey J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berkhamsted Town 27 / 100
Hanworth Villa 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berkhamsted Town Hanworth Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hanworth Villa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Berkhamsted Town scored in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Hanworth Villa has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Berkhamsted Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Berkhamsted Town VS Hanworth Villa
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Berkhamsted Town

(Home)
03 Oct
Redditch
0 : 2
Berkhamsted Town
29 Sept
Sholing
2 : 0
Berkhamsted Town
26 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
3 : 1
Chatham
22 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
1 : 2
Hanworth Villa
19 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
4 : 1
Hendon
Page 1 of 6

Hanworth Villa

(Away)
03 Oct
Leatherhead
1 : 0
Hanworth Villa
29 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 1
Chichester City
26 Sept
Hanworth Villa
3 : 2
Stortford
22 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
1 : 2
Hanworth Villa
19 Sept
Pagham
0 : 6
Hanworth Villa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 10 7 0 3 17:12 21
2 Plymouth Parkway 9 6 2 1 23:8 20
3 Uxbridge 9 6 2 1 19:8 20
4 Hanworth Villa 9 6 1 2 17:8 19
5 Bath City 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
6 Frome Town 10 4 3 3 17:13 15
7 Chertsey Town 9 4 2 3 20:15 14
8 Taunton Town 9 4 1 4 23:22 13
9 Chichester City 9 4 1 4 14:16 13
10 Evesham 9 4 1 4 14:17 13
11 Berkhamsted Town 10 4 1 5 11:14 13
12 Wimborne 8 3 3 2 10:4 12
13 Gosport Borough 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
14 Yate 9 3 3 3 13:18 12
15 Bracknell Town 9 3 2 4 11:18 11
16 Sholing 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
17 Basingstoke 9 2 3 4 14:16 9
18 Hanwell Town 8 1 4 3 7:10 7
19 Gloucester City 9 1 4 4 12:17 7
20 Chippenham Town 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
21 Havant & Waterlooville 9 1 2 6 9:16 5
22 Malvern Town 9 1 2 6 13:25 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)