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Berkhamsted Town vs Tiverton

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Lacey J.
45' Event
Blake R.
75' Event
Lacey J.

AI Match Summary

Berkhamsted Town in this Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Berkhamsted Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Berkhamsted Town
15%
Draws
41%
Tiverton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Berkhamsted Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Berkhamsted Town have won more games recently than Tiverton.
  • Berkhamsted Town are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Berkhamsted Town Clean Sheet 15%
Tiverton Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berkhamsted Town Tiverton
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 20 9
Draws 3 2
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 1.72 1
Goals Conceded 1.09 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Berkhamsted Town vs Tiverton
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Tiverton vs Berkhamsted Town
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berkhamsted Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Lacey J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Blake R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Tiverton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berkhamsted Town 35 / 100
Tiverton 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berkhamsted Town Tiverton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berkhamsted Town's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Tiverton has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Berkhamsted Town stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Berkhamsted Town VS Tiverton
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Berkhamsted Town

(Home)
19 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
4 : 1
Hendon
15 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
1 : 0
Uxbridge
12 Sept
Evesham
0 : 0
Berkhamsted Town
05 Sept
Stortford
2 : 3
Berkhamsted Town
31 Aug
Berkhamsted Town
1 : 0
Hanwell Town
Page 1 of 7

Tiverton

(Away)
19 Sept
Tiverton
0 : 1
Sholing
12 Sept
Tiverton
3 : 0
Larkhall
05 Sept
St. Blazey
1 : 2
Tiverton
29 Aug
Bideford
1 : 2
Tiverton
18 Jul
Tiverton
2 : 0
Brixham
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)