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Bermeo vs SD San Pedro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bermeo
35%
Draws
26%
SD San Pedro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bermeo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SD San Pedro lately — more wins on the board than Bermeo.
  • Model gives Bermeo a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Bermeo Clean Sheet 68%
SD San Pedro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bermeo SD San Pedro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 5
Draws 9 10
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0.67 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs SD San Pedro
3:3
Dec 1, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD San Pedro vs Bermeo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bermeo 68 / 100
SD San Pedro 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bermeo SD San Pedro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bermeo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD San Pedro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Bermeo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: SD San Pedro has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bermeo VS SD San Pedro
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bermeo

(Home)
18 May
Bermeo
1 : 2
Alaves B
11 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0
Bermeo
04 May
Bermeo
1 : 1
Balmaseda
27 Apr
Zamudio
0 : 0
Bermeo
18 Apr
Bermeo
3 : 3
SD San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

SD San Pedro

(Away)
18 May
SD San Pedro
0 : 2
Balmaseda
11 May
Zamudio
6 : 0
SD San Pedro
04 May
SD San Pedro
0 : 2
Santurtzi
27 Apr
SD San Pedro
1 : 1
Sodupe
18 Apr
Bermeo
3 : 3
SD San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 38 26 8 4 65:21 86
2 Sestao 38 22 12 4 74:36 78
3 Alaves B 38 18 12 8 69:44 66
4 San Ignacio 38 17 12 9 66:36 63
5 Balmaseda 38 17 12 9 50:36 63
6 Basconia 38 16 12 10 64:52 60
7 Real Sociedad C 38 16 11 11 71:48 59
8 Somorrostro 38 14 15 9 59:43 57
9 Sodupe 38 11 17 10 49:45 50
10 Pasaia 38 12 13 13 33:46 49
11 Santutxu FC 38 12 12 14 38:48 48
12 Lagun Onak 38 12 12 14 46:46 48
13 Beasain 38 9 19 10 46:40 46
14 Santurtzi 38 10 15 13 33:42 45
15 SD Deusto 38 10 13 15 41:55 43
16 Zamudio 38 10 9 19 42:66 39
17 Amurrio Club 38 8 10 20 30:64 34
18 Ordizia 38 5 16 17 40:72 31
19 SD San Pedro 38 6 11 21 40:69 29
20 Bermeo 38 2 13 23 24:71 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)