Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019 game between Bermeo and Somorrostro finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
15%
35%
50%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Somorrostro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Somorrostro come out ahead of Bermeo on wins alone.
- Somorrostro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Somorrostro here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Bermeo Clean Sheet 23%
Somorrostro Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bermeo | Somorrostro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 2 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 19 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 2, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Somorrostro
0:0
Sep 16, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs Bermeo
5:0
Jan 20, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Somorrostro
1:2
Sep 9, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs Bermeo
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bermeo 10 / 100
Somorrostro 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bermeo Somorrostro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Somorrostro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Somorrostro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Solid form: Bermeo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Bermeo scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Somorrostro
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bermeo
(Home) 18 May
Bermeo
1 : 2 Alaves B
11 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0 Bermeo
04 May
Bermeo
1 : 1 Balmaseda
27 Apr
Zamudio
0 : 0 Bermeo
18 Apr
Bermeo
3 : 3 SD San Pedro
Page 1 of 6
18 May
Bermeo
1 : 2 Alaves B
04 May
Bermeo
1 : 1 Balmaseda
18 Apr
Bermeo
3 : 3 SD San Pedro
06 Apr
Bermeo
0 : 0 Santurtzi
30 Mar
Bermeo
0 : 1 Amurrio Club
Page 1 of 3
Somorrostro
(Away) 29 Aug
Santurtzi
1 : 3 Somorrostro
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3 Somorrostro
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1 CD Ariznabarra
29 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 1 Somorrostro
22 May
Somorrostro
3 : 0 Santurtzi
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Santurtzi
1 : 3 Somorrostro
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3 Somorrostro
29 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 1 Somorrostro
15 May
SCD Durango
0 : 0 Somorrostro
02 May
CD Ariznabarra
4 : 2 Somorrostro
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugalete | 38 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 65:21 | 86 |
| 2 | Sestao | 38 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 74:36 | 78 |
| 3 | Alaves B | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 69:44 | 66 |
| 4 | San Ignacio | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 66:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Balmaseda | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 50:36 | 63 |
| 6 | Basconia | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 64:52 | 60 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad C | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 71:48 | 59 |
| 8 | Somorrostro | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 59:43 | 57 |
| 9 | Sodupe | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 49:45 | 50 |
| 10 | Pasaia | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 33:46 | 49 |
| 11 | Santutxu FC | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 38:48 | 48 |
| 12 | Lagun Onak | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 46:46 | 48 |
| 13 | Beasain | 38 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 46:40 | 46 |
| 14 | Santurtzi | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 33:42 | 45 |
| 15 | SD Deusto | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 41:55 | 43 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:66 | 39 |
| 17 | Amurrio Club | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 30:64 | 34 |
| 18 | Ordizia | 38 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 40:72 | 31 |
| 19 | SD San Pedro | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 40:69 | 29 |
| 20 | Bermeo | 38 | 2 | 13 | 23 | 24:71 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
