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Bermuda U20 vs Costa Rica U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Leal Y.
47' Event
Deroza X.
60' Event
Deroza X.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Championship U20 game between Bermuda U20 and Costa Rica U20 finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Bermuda U20
20%
Draws
42%
Costa Rica U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Costa Rica U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Costa Rica U20 come out ahead of Bermuda U20 on wins alone.
  • Bermuda U20 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CONCACAF Championship U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Costa Rica U20 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bermuda U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Costa Rica U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bermuda U20 Costa Rica U20
Matches Played 20 34
Wins 5 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.4 1.65
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 CONCACAF Championship U20
Bermuda U20 vs Costa Rica U20
3:3
Nov 1, 2018 CONCACAF Championship U20
Costa Rica U20 vs Bermuda U20
5:0
Feb 25, 2017 CONCACAF Championship U20
Costa Rica U20 vs Bermuda U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bermuda U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Deroza X.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Donawa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Costa Rica U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Leal Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bermuda U20 38 / 100
Costa Rica U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bermuda U20 Costa Rica U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bermuda U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.

Bermuda U20 found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (20 games).

Costa Rica U20 has conceded goals in 65% of their last 34 outings.

Bermuda U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bermuda U20 VS Costa Rica U20
2.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bermuda U20

(Home)
04 Mar
Barbados U20
0 : 2
Bermuda U20
02 Mar
Bermuda U20
3 : 3
Costa Rica U20
28 Feb
Bermuda U20
2 : 0
Sint Maarten U20
24 Feb
Trinidad & Tobago U20
2 : 2
Bermuda U20
28 Feb
Jamaica U20
3 : 2
Bermuda U20
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Costa Rica U20

(Away)
07 Aug
Costa Rica U20
0 : 2
USA U20
04 Aug
Costa Rica U20
2 : 1
Haiti U20
30 Jul
Costa Rica U20
4 : 1
Antigua and Barbuda U20
28 Jul
Costa Rica U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
24 Jul
Guatemala U20
0 : 1
Costa Rica U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador U20 5 4 0 1 16:3 12
2 Suriname U20 5 4 0 1 16:4 12
3 Belize U20 5 3 0 2 10:17 9
4 Saint Martin U20 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
5 French Guiana U20 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
6 Grenada U20 5 1 0 4 3:12 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica U20 5 5 0 0 28:0 15
2 Puerto Rico U20 5 4 0 1 12:2 12
3 Bonaire U20 5 2 1 2 6:11 7
4 Turks and Caicos Islands U20 5 2 0 3 4:14 6
5 Saint Kitts and Nevis U20 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
6 Cayman Islands U20 5 0 0 5 3:19 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua and Barbuda U20 4 4 0 0 5:0 12
2 Dominican Republic U20 4 3 0 1 11:1 9
3 British Virgin Islands U20 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
4 Saint Lucia U20 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
5 Dominica U20 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti U20 4 4 0 0 16:1 12
2 Curacao U20 4 3 0 1 13:4 9
3 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 4 2 0 2 9:10 6
4 Guyana U20 4 1 0 3 7:9 3
5 Anguilla U20 4 0 0 4 0:21 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica U20 4 3 1 0 21:3 10
2 Bermuda U20 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
3 Trinidad & Tobago U20 4 2 1 1 11:6 7
4 Barbados U20 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
5 Sint Maarten U20 4 0 1 3 1:19 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada U20 4 3 0 1 24:1 9
2 Nicaragua U20 4 3 0 1 12:5 9
3 Aruba U20 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Martinique U20 4 1 1 2 7:14 4
5 United States Virgin Islands U20 4 0 0 4 4:29 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Main)