Sport Picks
Bermuda vs Antigua and Barbuda
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Estadio Cibao FC, Santiago 
Match Events
8'
8'
Drew Z.
Own Goal
46'
46'
Sub
Stevens J. In: Greene K.
Out: Stevens J.
48'
48'
Lambe R.
AI Match Summary
The CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 game between Bermuda and Antigua and Barbuda finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bermuda.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Antigua and Barbuda haven't matched Bermuda's recent run of results.
- Model gives Antigua and Barbuda a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bermuda Clean Sheet 14%
Antigua and Barbuda Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bermuda | Antigua and Barbuda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 16, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Bermuda vs Antigua and Barbuda
2:1
Sep 10, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Antigua and Barbuda vs Bermuda
0:1
Jun 5, 2024 World Championship
Antigua and Barbuda vs Bermuda
1:1
Mar 21, 2018 Friendly International
Antigua and Barbuda vs Bermuda
3:2
Aug 27, 2008 Caribbean Cup
Bermuda vs Antigua and Barbuda
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bermuda Compare
Top Goalscorer Lambe R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Antigua and Barbuda Compare
Top Goalscorer Massicot D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bermuda 23 / 100
Antigua and Barbuda 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bermuda Antigua and Barbuda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Antigua and Barbuda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Bermuda scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Antigua and Barbuda has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Difficult form: Antigua and Barbuda registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bermuda VS Antigua and Barbuda
1.13 Goals Scored 0.14
3 Goals Conceded 1.14
100% Over 1.5 29%
88% Over 2.5 14%
63% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Bermuda
(Home) 06 Jun
Cape Verde
3 : 0 Bermuda
25 Mar
D.R. Congo
2 : 0 Bermuda
19 Nov
Trinidad & Tobago
2 : 2 Bermuda
14 Nov
Bermuda
0 : 7 Curacao
15 Oct
Jamaica
4 : 0 Bermuda
Page 1 of 6
14 Nov
Bermuda
0 : 7 Curacao
10 Oct
Bermuda
0 : 3 Trinidad & Tobago
05 Sept
Bermuda
0 : 4 Jamaica
04 Jun
Bermuda
5 : 0 Cayman Islands
21 Mar
Bermuda
3 : 5 Honduras
Page 1 of 3
Antigua and Barbuda
(Away) 23 Sept
Aruba
1 : 0 Antigua and Barbuda
18 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
1 : 4 Guyana
12 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
0 : 0 Aruba
11 Jun
Honduras
2 : 0 Antigua and Barbuda
06 Jun
Antigua and Barbuda
0 : 1 Cuba
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Aruba
1 : 0 Antigua and Barbuda
11 Jun
Honduras
2 : 0 Antigua and Barbuda
16 Nov
Bermuda
2 : 1 Antigua and Barbuda
15 Oct
Dominican Republic
5 : 0 Antigua and Barbuda
07 Sept
Dominica
2 : 1 Antigua and Barbuda
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Salvador | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bonaire | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:10 | 3 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curacao | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:15 | 9 |
| 3 | Grenada | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Saint Martin | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | 6 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haiti | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Puerto Rico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 3 | Sint Maarten | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:18 | 9 |
| 4 | Aruba | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:17 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dominican Republic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Bermuda | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15:13 | 12 |
| 3 | Dominica | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:18 | 4 |
| 4 | Antigua and Barbuda | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:15 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
