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Bermuda vs Honduras

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Dame Flora Duffy National Sports Centre (National), Hamilton
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Crichlow K.
Assist: Parfitt-Williams D.
12'
Jones R.
44' Event
Parfitt-Williams D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 3-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Bermuda
30%
Draws
58%
Honduras
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Honduras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Honduras have won more games recently than Bermuda.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Honduras taking it.
  • Honduras arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Honduras, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Honduras here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Bermuda Clean Sheet 10%
Honduras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bermuda Honduras
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2025 Gold Cup
Honduras vs Bermuda
2:0
Mar 21, 2025 Gold Cup
Bermuda vs Honduras
3:5
Jun 9, 2024 World Championship
Bermuda vs Honduras
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bermuda Compare

Top Goalscorer Crichlow K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parfitt-Williams D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Honduras Compare

Top Goalscorer Quioto R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Palma L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bermuda 10 / 100
Honduras 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bermuda Honduras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Honduras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.67 goals as a typical output.

Bermuda's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Honduras has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Bermuda stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bermuda VS Honduras
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bermuda

(Home)
06 Jun
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Bermuda
25 Mar
D.R. Congo
2 : 0
Bermuda
19 Nov
Trinidad & Tobago
2 : 2
Bermuda
14 Nov
Bermuda
0 : 7
Curacao
15 Oct
Jamaica
4 : 0
Bermuda
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Honduras

(Away)
07 Jun
Argentina
2 : 0
Honduras
31 Mar
Peru
2 : 2
Honduras
19 Nov
Costa Rica
0 : 0
Honduras
14 Nov
Nicaragua
2 : 0
Honduras
14 Oct
Honduras
3 : 0
Haiti
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Costa Rica 13
Belize 1
Jamaica 4
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 1
Honduras 7
Bermuda 3
Guatemala 4
Guyana 3
Trinidad & Tobago 6
Cuba 1
Martinique 0
Suriname 2
Nicaragua 0
Guadeloupe 2