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Bermuda vs Montserrat

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023
Tue, Jun 14, 2022
3 - 0
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bermuda host Montserrat in the CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Bermuda at 1.5 goals for, 2.44 against; Montserrat at 1.07 for, 1.97 against. Past meetings favor Bermuda slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2022, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.70 vs 1.51, favoring Bermuda. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Bermuda
15%
Draws
64%
Montserrat
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montserrat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bermuda lately — more wins on the board than Montserrat.
  • Montserrat are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Bermuda have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Bermuda Clean Sheet 15%
Montserrat Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bermuda Montserrat
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.44 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.70 1.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Bermuda vs Montserrat
3:0
Jun 11, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Montserrat vs Bermuda
3:2
Mar 21, 2004 World Championship
Montserrat vs Bermuda
0:7
Feb 29, 2004 World Championship
Bermuda vs Montserrat
13:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bermuda 10 / 100
Montserrat 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bermuda Montserrat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montserrat Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montserrat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Bermuda found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Away concern: Montserrat has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bermuda VS Montserrat
2 Goals Scored 0.4
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.4
100% Over 1.5 40%
88% Over 2.5 40%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bermuda

(Home)
06 Jun
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Bermuda
25 Mar
D.R. Congo
2 : 0
Bermuda
19 Nov
Trinidad & Tobago
2 : 2
Bermuda
14 Nov
Bermuda
0 : 7
Curacao
15 Oct
Jamaica
4 : 0
Bermuda
Page 1 of 7

Montserrat

(Away)
11 Jun
Guyana
3 : 0
Montserrat
04 Jun
Montserrat
1 : 0
Belize
18 Nov
El Salvador
1 : 0
Montserrat
14 Nov
Montserrat
1 : 2
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
13 Oct
Montserrat
0 : 1
Bonaire
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuba 6 5 0 1 11:3 15
2 Guadeloupe 6 3 0 3 5:5 9
3 Antigua and Barbuda 6 3 0 3 5:7 9
4 Barbados 6 1 0 5 3:9 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League A)
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti 6 5 1 0 22:5 16
2 Guyana 6 3 1 2 8:14 10
3 Bermuda 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
4 Montserrat 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League A)
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nicaragua 6 4 2 0 15:5 14
2 Trinidad & Tobago 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
3 Bahamas 6 1 1 4 2:11 4
4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League A)
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guatemala 6 4 1 1 11:4 13
2 French Guiana 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
3 Dominican Republic 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
4 Belize 6 0 1 5 2:10 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League A)
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League C)