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Bermuda vs Trinidad & Tobago - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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World Championship 2026 Dame Flora Duffy National Sports Centre (National), Hamilton
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Match Events

10' Event
Sealy D.
Assist: Garcia L.
19'
Martin K.
21'
Spicer T.

AI Match Summary

Trinidad & Tobago in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trinidad & Tobago.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bermuda
15%
Draws
85%
Trinidad & Tobago
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trinidad & Tobago

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bermuda lately — more wins on the board than Trinidad & Tobago.
  • Trinidad & Tobago are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bermuda Clean Sheet 10%
Trinidad & Tobago Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bermuda Trinidad & Tobago
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 3 9
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.47 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2025 World Championship
Trinidad & Tobago vs Bermuda
2:2
Oct 10, 2025 World Championship
Bermuda vs Trinidad & Tobago
0:3
Oct 7, 2011 World Championship
Bermuda vs Trinidad & Tobago
2:1
Sep 2, 2011 World Championship
Trinidad & Tobago vs Bermuda
1:0
Jun 22, 2008 World Championship
Bermuda vs Trinidad & Tobago
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bermuda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Trinidad & Tobago Compare

Top Goalscorer Sealy D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Spicer T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bermuda 22 / 100
Trinidad & Tobago 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bermuda Trinidad & Tobago

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trinidad & Tobago Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Trinidad & Tobago conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Bermuda scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Trinidad & Tobago's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bermuda VS Trinidad & Tobago
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
3.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bermuda

(Home)
06 Oct
Bermuda
1 : 2
Barbados
03 Oct
Barbados
4 : 1
Bermuda
29 Sept
Saint Lucia
5 : 2
Bermuda
25 Sept
Bermuda
1 : 2
Guadeloupe
06 Jun
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Bermuda
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Trinidad & Tobago

(Away)
04 Oct
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 1
Curacao
01 Oct
Curacao
1 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
28 Sept
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 2
Dominican Republic
25 Sept
Haiti
3 : 2
Trinidad & Tobago
26 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
2 Suriname 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
3 Guatemala 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
4 El Salvador 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 6 3 3 0 13:3 12
2 Jamaica 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
3 Trinidad & Tobago 6 1 4 1 7:6 7
4 Bermuda 6 0 1 5 4:23 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
2 Honduras 6 2 3 1 5:2 9
3 Costa Rica 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
4 Nicaragua 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)