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Beroe II vs Nesebar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

Nesebar in this Third League - South-East 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nesebar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Beroe II
20%
Draws
73%
Nesebar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nesebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Nesebar have won more games recently than Beroe II.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Nesebar taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nesebar here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Beroe II Clean Sheet 10%
Nesebar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beroe II Nesebar
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 3 26
Draws 2 6
Losses 25 5
Goals Scored 0.47 3.08
Goals Conceded 3 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 2.37
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Third League - South-East
Beroe II vs Nesebar
0:3
Oct 26, 2023 Third League - South-East
Nesebar vs Beroe II
7:1
May 20, 2023 Third League - South-East
Beroe II vs Nesebar
2:1
Nov 13, 2022 Third League - South-East
Nesebar vs Beroe II
8:0
Mar 5, 2022 Third League - South-East
Nesebar vs Beroe II
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beroe II 10 / 100
Nesebar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beroe II Nesebar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nesebar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Beroe II found the back of the net in 27% of recent matches (30 games).

Nesebar let in goals in 59% of their last 37 matches.

Beroe II has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nesebar
0 Goals Scored 3.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Beroe II

(Home)
31 May
Beroe II
0 : 3
Atletik Kuklen
25 May
Botev II
5 : 0
Beroe II
18 May
Beroe II
0 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
15 May
Sokol Markovo
2 : 2
Beroe II
11 May
Beroe II
0 : 3
Nesebar
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Nesebar

(Away)
04 Oct
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3
Nesebar
27 Sept
Vihren
2 : 0
Nesebar
20 Sept
Nesebar
4 : 3
Beroe
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1
Rilski Sportist
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 38 29 8 1 121:39 95
2 OFC Haskovo 38 30 3 5 97:26 93
3 Spartak Plovdiv 38 29 6 3 122:22 93
4 Gigant Saedinenie 38 21 8 9 81:43 71
5 Zagorets 38 21 6 11 79:42 69
6 Dimitrovgrad 38 19 10 9 60:40 67
7 Botev II 38 18 7 13 84:55 61
8 Atletik Kuklen 38 18 4 16 60:71 58
9 Rozova Dolina 38 17 5 16 60:50 56
10 Rodopa Smolyan 38 15 6 17 64:63 51
11 Asenovets 38 14 6 18 59:73 48
12 Lok. Plovdiv II 38 14 5 19 65:59 47
13 Sozopol 38 12 10 16 57:53 46
14 Sekirovo Rakovski 38 11 7 20 59:75 40
15 Levski Karlovo 38 11 5 22 56:91 38
16 Yambol 1915 38 9 10 19 49:82 37
17 Karnobat 38 11 1 26 46:106 34
18 Sliven 38 8 6 24 42:127 30
19 Sokol Markovo 38 8 3 27 36:98 27
20 Beroe II 38 6 2 30 26:108 20
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