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Beroe II vs Rozova Dolina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2023/2024 game between Beroe II and Rozova Dolina finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rozova Dolina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Beroe II
35%
Draws
56%
Rozova Dolina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rozova Dolina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rozova Dolina come out ahead of Beroe II on wins alone.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Rozova Dolina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rozova Dolina here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Beroe II Clean Sheet 20%
Rozova Dolina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beroe II Rozova Dolina
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 3 13
Draws 2 9
Losses 25 11
Goals Scored 0.47 1.48
Goals Conceded 3 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Third League - South-East
Beroe II vs Rozova Dolina
2:3
Aug 12, 2023 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Beroe II
5:0
Apr 22, 2023 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Beroe II
2:0
Oct 15, 2022 Third League - South-East
Beroe II vs Rozova Dolina
0:2
Mar 26, 2022 Third League - South-East
Beroe II vs Rozova Dolina
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beroe II 10 / 100
Rozova Dolina 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beroe II Rozova Dolina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rozova Dolina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rozova Dolina let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Beroe II scored in 27% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Beroe II remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rozova Dolina
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Beroe II

(Home)
31 May
Beroe II
0 : 3
Atletik Kuklen
25 May
Botev II
5 : 0
Beroe II
18 May
Beroe II
0 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
15 May
Sokol Markovo
2 : 2
Beroe II
11 May
Beroe II
0 : 3
Nesebar
Page 1 of 6

Rozova Dolina

(Away)
03 Oct
Atletik Kuklen
3 : 3
Rozova Dolina
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2
Dimitrovgrad
19 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 2
Rozova Dolina
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rozova Dolina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 38 29 8 1 121:39 95
2 OFC Haskovo 38 30 3 5 97:26 93
3 Spartak Plovdiv 38 29 6 3 122:22 93
4 Gigant Saedinenie 38 21 8 9 81:43 71
5 Zagorets 38 21 6 11 79:42 69
6 Dimitrovgrad 38 19 10 9 60:40 67
7 Botev II 38 18 7 13 84:55 61
8 Atletik Kuklen 38 18 4 16 60:71 58
9 Rozova Dolina 38 17 5 16 60:50 56
10 Rodopa Smolyan 38 15 6 17 64:63 51
11 Asenovets 38 14 6 18 59:73 48
12 Lok. Plovdiv II 38 14 5 19 65:59 47
13 Sozopol 38 12 10 16 57:53 46
14 Sekirovo Rakovski 38 11 7 20 59:75 40
15 Levski Karlovo 38 11 5 22 56:91 38
16 Yambol 1915 38 9 10 19 49:82 37
17 Karnobat 38 11 1 26 46:106 34
18 Sliven 38 8 6 24 42:127 30
19 Sokol Markovo 38 8 3 27 36:98 27
20 Beroe II 38 6 2 30 26:108 20
Promotion - Vtora liga 2024/2025 (Main)