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Beroe II vs Sozopol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2023/2024
Beroe II Logo

Beroe II

3 - 2
FT
Sozopol Logo

Sozopol

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2023/2024 game between Beroe II and Sozopol finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beroe II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Beroe II
20%
Draws
70%
Sozopol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sozopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Sozopol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sozopol a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Beroe II Clean Sheet 16%
Sozopol Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beroe II Sozopol
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 3 18
Draws 2 6
Losses 25 12
Goals Scored 0.47 1.75
Goals Conceded 3 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 Third League - South-East
Beroe II vs Sozopol
3:2
Oct 11, 2023 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Beroe II
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beroe II 10 / 100
Sozopol 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beroe II Sozopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sozopol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Sozopol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 36 matches.

Beroe II found the back of the net in 27% of recent matches (30 games).

Beroe II has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sozopol
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Beroe II

(Home)
31 May
Beroe II
0 : 3
Atletik Kuklen
25 May
Botev II
5 : 0
Beroe II
18 May
Beroe II
0 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
15 May
Sokol Markovo
2 : 2
Beroe II
11 May
Beroe II
0 : 3
Nesebar
Page 1 of 6

Sozopol

(Away)
03 Oct
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 2
Sozopol
26 Sept
Sozopol
3 : 2
Sekirovo Rakovski
18 Sept
Botev II
0 : 0
Sozopol
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
05 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
1 : 0
Sozopol
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 38 29 8 1 121:39 95
2 OFC Haskovo 38 30 3 5 97:26 93
3 Spartak Plovdiv 38 29 6 3 122:22 93
4 Gigant Saedinenie 38 21 8 9 81:43 71
5 Zagorets 38 21 6 11 79:42 69
6 Dimitrovgrad 38 19 10 9 60:40 67
7 Botev II 38 18 7 13 84:55 61
8 Atletik Kuklen 38 18 4 16 60:71 58
9 Rozova Dolina 38 17 5 16 60:50 56
10 Rodopa Smolyan 38 15 6 17 64:63 51
11 Asenovets 38 14 6 18 59:73 48
12 Lok. Plovdiv II 38 14 5 19 65:59 47
13 Sozopol 38 12 10 16 57:53 46
14 Sekirovo Rakovski 38 11 7 20 59:75 40
15 Levski Karlovo 38 11 5 22 56:91 38
16 Yambol 1915 38 9 10 19 49:82 37
17 Karnobat 38 11 1 26 46:106 34
18 Sliven 38 8 6 24 42:127 30
19 Sokol Markovo 38 8 3 27 36:98 27
20 Beroe II 38 6 2 30 26:108 20
Promotion - Vtora liga 2024/2025 (Main)