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Berwick vs Queen of the South - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Shielfield Park, Berwick
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-5. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Queen of the South have shipped 1.87 goals a game lately, while Berwick have conceded 1.81 and scored 1.71. Past meetings favor Queen of the South slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 2, 2017, ending 0:5. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.75, favoring Berwick. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Berwick
20%
Draws
51%
Queen of the South
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Queen of the South

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Berwick lately — more wins on the board than Queen of the South.
  • Win probability leans Queen of the South's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Berwick have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Queen of the South, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Berwick Clean Sheet 12%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berwick Queen of the South
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.71 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2017 Challenge Cup
Berwick vs Queen of the South
0:5
Jul 26, 2008 Challenge Cup
Berwick vs Queen of the South
1:5
Mar 30, 2002 League One
Queen of the South vs Berwick
0:0
Feb 9, 2002 League One
Berwick vs Queen of the South
1:0
Dec 1, 2001 League One
Queen of the South vs Berwick
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berwick 10 / 100
Queen of the South 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berwick Queen of the South

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queen of the South Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queen of the South has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Berwick scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Berwick has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Berwick VS Queen of the South
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Berwick

(Home)
03 Oct
Cowdenbeath
4 : 0
Berwick
26 Sept
Airdrieonians
7 : 1
Berwick
22 Sept
Berwick
3 : 2
Stranraer
19 Sept
Berwick
0 : 0
Musselburgh
15 Sept
Civil Service Strollers
2 : 1
Berwick
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Queen of the South

(Away)
03 Oct
Queen of the South
4 : 3
Cove Rangers
26 Sept
Queen of the South
4 : 2
Rangers B
22 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1
Annan
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1
Queen of the South
15 Sept
Ross County
8 : 0
Queen of the South
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)