Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Besa 1976 vs KF Gostivar

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2024/2025 Gradski stadion Gostivar, Gostivar
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Fetai I.
19'
Kalanoski A.
37' Event
Kalanoski A.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Besa 1976 in this 1. MFL 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Besa 1976.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Besa 1976
15%
Draws
0%
KF Gostivar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Besa 1976

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • KF Gostivar have won more games recently than Besa 1976.
  • Besa 1976 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Besa 1976 Clean Sheet 68%
KF Gostivar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besa 1976 KF Gostivar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.27 1
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 1. MFL
Besa 1976 vs KF Gostivar
2:1
Feb 23, 2025 1. MFL
Besa 1976 vs KF Gostivar
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 1. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Besa 1976
1:1
Mar 4, 2023 2. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Besa 1976
1:0
Sep 3, 2022 2. MFL
Besa 1976 vs KF Gostivar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Besa 1976 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

KF Gostivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalanoski A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besa 1976 95 / 100
KF Gostivar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besa 1976 KF Gostivar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besa 1976 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: KF Gostivar has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Besa 1976 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Besa 1976 scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Besa 1976 VS KF Gostivar
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Besa 1976

(Home)
25 May
Besa 1976
0 : 2
Bashkimi
17 May
Pelister
1 : 4
Besa 1976
11 May
Besa 1976
3 : 0
Voska Sport
07 May
Tikves
1 : 0
Besa 1976
04 May
Besa 1976
2 : 1
Brera Strumica
Page 1 of 6

KF Gostivar

(Away)
18 May
Vardar
3 : 0
KF Gostivar
11 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Shkendija Tetovo
07 May
Sileks
3 : 0
KF Gostivar
04 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Pelister
27 Apr
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Rabotnicki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 33 20 10 3 59:30 70
2 Sileks 33 19 10 4 57:19 67
3 Rabotnicki 33 15 11 7 38:21 56
4 Struga 33 13 12 8 41:37 51
5 Vardar 33 12 9 12 39:37 45
6 Pelister 33 10 9 14 26:38 39
7 Shkupi 33 10 8 15 47:47 38
8 Tikves 33 7 13 13 25:33 34
9 Brera Strumica 33 9 7 17 41:56 34
10 Besa 1976 33 9 6 18 34:53 33
11 KF Gostivar 33 12 12 9 36:34 21
12 Voska Sport 33 5 7 21 25:63 -5
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Main)