Sport Picks

Albania

First Division 2022/2023

Beselidhja Lezha

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Besa Kavaje play Beselidhja Lezha in the First Division 2022/2023. Besa Kavaje are favorites here. Recently, Besa Kavaje averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. Beselidhja Lezha averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Besa Kavaje won 2, Beselidhja Lezha won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 12, 2023 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Besa Kavaje and 1.19 for Beselidhja Lezha. This points to a Besa Kavaje double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%

Besa Kavaje

15%

Draws

22%

Beselidhja Lezha

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Besa Kavaje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Besa Kavaje picked up more points recently compared to Beselidhja Lezha.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Besa Kavaje Clean Sheet 20%

Beselidhja Lezha Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Besa Kavaje	Beselidhja Lezha
Matches Played	39	30
Wins	19	3
Draws	6	8
Losses	14	19
Goals Scored	1.54	0.6
Goals Conceded	1.15	1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Kategoria e Parë

Besa Kavaje vs Beselidhja Lezha

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Sep 10, 2022 Kategoria e Parë

Beselidhja Lezha vs Besa Kavaje

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Apr 30, 2022 Kategoria e Parë

Beselidhja Lezha vs Besa Kavaje

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Dec 19, 2021 Kategoria e Parë

Besa Kavaje vs Beselidhja Lezha

Possession: 43% - 57% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Dec 16, 2017 Kategoria e Parë

Besa Kavaje vs Beselidhja Lezha

Possession: 43% - 47% Cards: 1 - 0

1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Besa Kavaje Compare

Top Goalscorer Onuh C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Hoxha E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Beselidhja Lezha Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besa Kavaje 61 / 100

Beselidhja Lezha 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Besa Kavaje Beselidhja Lezha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besa Kavaje Win (1)

Secondary Pick Besa Kavaje & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.82

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Besa Kavaje attacking → ← attacking Beselidhja Lezha

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Besa Kavaje scored in 74% of their last 39 games.

Beselidhja Lezha let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Besa Kavaje went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Beselidhja Lezha lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 17

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Skenderbeu Korca	26	13	10	3	37:13	49
2	Dinamo Tirana	26	14	5	7	48:23	47
3	Flamurtari	26	13	7	6	40:16	46
4	Tomori Berat	26	13	4	9	29:27	43
5	Korabi Peshkopi	26	10	9	7	32:24	39
6	Apolonia Fier	26	10	8	8	31:30	38
7	Luzi	26	10	8	8	31:26	38
8	Besa Kavaje	26	10	7	9	32:26	37
9	Lushnja	26	8	8	10	30:42	32
10	Burreli	26	7	10	9	22:29	31
11	KF Oriku	26	9	3	14	27:33	30
12	Turbina Cerrik	26	7	5	14	24:45	26
13	Beselidhja Lezha	26	3	8	15	17:41	14
14	Terbuni Puka	26	6	6	14	16:41	24