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Besa Kavaje vs Erzeni Shijak

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Patrick Nonato
(Penalty)
90' Event
Bedzrah J.

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 game between Besa Kavaje and Erzeni Shijak finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Besa Kavaje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Besa Kavaje
6%
Draws
4%
Erzeni Shijak
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Besa Kavaje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Besa Kavaje come out ahead of Erzeni Shijak on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Besa Kavaje taking it.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Besa Kavaje Clean Sheet 18%
Erzeni Shijak Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besa Kavaje Erzeni Shijak
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 17 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Erzeni Shijak
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Erzeni Shijak
2:3
Oct 20, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs Besa Kavaje
0:0
Apr 23, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs Besa Kavaje
4:1
Dec 14, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Erzeni Shijak
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Besa Kavaje Compare

Top Goalscorer Bedzrah J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Erzeni Shijak Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besa Kavaje 85 / 100
Erzeni Shijak 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besa Kavaje Erzeni Shijak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erzeni Shijak's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Erzeni Shijak registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Besa Kavaje scored in 73% of their last 37 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Besa Kavaje VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Besa Kavaje

(Home)
25 Jul
Pogradeci
1 : 1
Besa Kavaje
18 Jul
Besa Kavaje
2 : 1
Partizani
08 Jul
Besa Kavaje
1 : 0
Laci
11 May
Pogradeci
1 : 0
Besa Kavaje
07 May
Iliria Kruja
0 : 2
Besa Kavaje
Page 1 of 8

Erzeni Shijak

(Away)
15 Oct
Erzeni Shijak
0 : 2
Librazhd
20 Apr
Erzeni Shijak
2 : 3
Kastrioti
13 Apr
Flamurtari
2 : 0
Erzeni Shijak
05 Apr
Erzeni Shijak
1 : 5
Apolonia Fier
30 Mar
Besa Kavaje
2 : 0
Erzeni Shijak
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vora 33 24 4 5 55:24 76
2 Flamurtari 33 23 6 4 62:21 75
3 Besa Kavaje 33 22 8 3 54:18 74
4 Burreli 33 16 10 7 36:22 58
5 Pogradeci 33 14 7 12 33:35 49
6 Apolonia Fier 33 11 12 10 45:32 45
7 Lushnja 33 13 5 15 39:41 44
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 12 5 16 35:48 41
9 Kastrioti 33 11 5 17 35:49 38
10 Kukesi 33 8 4 21 29:56 28
11 KF Valbona 33 3 7 23 29:59 16
12 Erzeni Shijak 33 2 5 26 16:63 11
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 (Relegation)