Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Besa Kavaje vs Iliria Kruja - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Besa Kavaje host Iliria Kruja in the Kategoria e Parë. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Besa Kavaje at 1.72 goals for, 1.25 against; Iliria Kruja at 1.1 for, 1.17 against. Head-to-head, Besa Kavaje have won 2 to Iliria Kruja's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 7, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.31) point toward Besa Kavaje. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Besa Kavaje
35%
Draws
31%
Iliria Kruja
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Iliria Kruja haven't matched Besa Kavaje's recent run of results.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Besa Kavaje taking it.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Besa Kavaje Clean Sheet 18%
Iliria Kruja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besa Kavaje Iliria Kruja
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.72 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
Iliria Kruja vs Besa Kavaje
0:2
Feb 22, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Besa Kavaje
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Iliria Kruja
3:1
Oct 4, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Besa Kavaje
2:1
Feb 1, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Iliria Kruja
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besa Kavaje 85 / 100
Iliria Kruja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besa Kavaje Iliria Kruja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besa Kavaje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Besa Kavaje's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Defensive concern: Iliria Kruja conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Besa Kavaje went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Besa Kavaje VS Iliria Kruja
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Besa Kavaje

(Home)
07 Oct
Besa Kavaje
4 : 1
KS Devolli
20 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Besa Kavaje
16 Sept
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
KF Oriku
12 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
0 : 4
Besa Kavaje
06 Sept
Besa Kavaje
3 : 3
Flamurtari
Page 1 of 8

Iliria Kruja

(Away)
07 Oct
Iliria Kruja
4 : 3
Koplik
20 Sept
Iliria Kruja
1 : 1
Bylis
16 Sept
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 1
Iliria Kruja
12 Sept
Iliria Kruja
3 : 1
Kukesi
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0
Pogradeci
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogradeci 4 2 2 0 5:1 8
2 Besa Kavaje 4 2 1 1 13:5 7
3 Korabi Peshkopi 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
4 Iliria Kruja 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Bylis 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
6 Kukesi 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
7 Kastrioti 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
8 Burreli 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
9 Sopoti Librazhd 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
10 Beselidhja Lezha 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
11 Flamurtari 4 0 3 1 4:5 3
12 KF Oriku 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)