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Besa Kavaje vs KF Oriku Prediction & H2H Stats

Albania Albania

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Kasaj E.

AI Match Summary

KF Oriku in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored KF Oriku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Besa Kavaje
15%
Draws
0%
KF Oriku
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Besa Kavaje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Besa Kavaje lately — more wins on the board than KF Oriku.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Besa Kavaje taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Besa Kavaje Clean Sheet 68%
KF Oriku Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besa Kavaje KF Oriku
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.53 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 0.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs KF Oriku
5:0
Apr 23, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs KF Oriku
0:1
Dec 11, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
KF Oriku vs Besa Kavaje
0:1
Dec 8, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs KF Oriku
2:0
Sep 14, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
KF Oriku vs Besa Kavaje
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Besa Kavaje Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

KF Oriku Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasaj E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.49
Avg xA / game 0.3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besa Kavaje 95 / 100
KF Oriku 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besa Kavaje KF Oriku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besa Kavaje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: KF Oriku registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Besa Kavaje's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

KF Oriku has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Besa Kavaje VS KF Oriku
1.25 Goals Scored 0.2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.8
63% Over 1.5 40%
38% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Besa Kavaje

(Home)
20 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Besa Kavaje
16 Sept
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
KF Oriku
12 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
0 : 4
Besa Kavaje
06 Sept
Besa Kavaje
3 : 3
Flamurtari
12 Aug
Kukesi
1 : 4
Besa Kavaje
Page 1 of 7

KF Oriku

(Away)
20 Sept
KF Oriku
0 : 1
Burreli
16 Sept
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
KF Oriku
12 Sept
KF Oriku
1 : 2
Bylis
06 Sept
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 0
KF Oriku
15 Oct
AF Luftetari
2 : 0
KF Oriku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skenderbeu Korca 26 13 10 3 37:13 49
2 Dinamo City 26 14 5 7 48:23 47
3 Flamurtari 26 13 7 6 40:16 46
4 Tomori Berat 26 13 4 9 29:27 43
5 Korabi Peshkopi 26 10 9 7 32:24 39
6 Apolonia Fier 26 10 8 8 31:30 38
7 Luzi 26 10 8 8 31:26 38
8 Besa Kavaje 26 10 7 9 32:26 37
9 Lushnja 26 8 8 10 30:42 32
10 Burreli 26 7 10 9 22:29 31
11 KF Oriku 26 9 3 14 27:33 30
12 Turbina Cerrik 26 7 5 14 24:45 26
13 Beselidhja Lezha 26 3 8 15 17:41 14
14 Terbuni Puka 26 6 6 14 16:41 24
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2022/2023 (Relegation)