Sport Picks
Besa Kavaje vs Pogradeci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Albania
Kategoria e Parë 
AI Match Summary
Besa Kavaje host Pogradeci in the Kategoria e Parë. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Besa Kavaje at 1.79 goals for, 1.15 against; Pogradeci at 2.1 for, 0.97 against. Past meetings favor Pogradeci slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.69) point toward Pogradeci. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Pogradeci carry the better recent record into this one.
- 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Besa Kavaje | Pogradeci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 31 |
| Wins | 17 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Besa Kavaje's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Pogradeci has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Besa Kavaje stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Besa Kavaje
(Home)Pogradeci
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Besa Kavaje | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Pogradeci | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Flamurtari | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Kukesi | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 5 | Iliria Kruja | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 12 |
| 6 | Bylis | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Beselidhja Lezha | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 8 | Kastrioti | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 9 | Korabi Peshkopi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | 8 |
| 10 | Sopoti Librazhd | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:12 | 7 |
| 11 | Burreli | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 12 | KF Oriku | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3:16 | 1 |
