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Stadium Background

Besa Kavaje vs Skenderbeu Korca

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Beshiraj M.

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 game between Besa Kavaje and Skenderbeu Korca finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skenderbeu Korca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Besa Kavaje
35%
Draws
15%
Skenderbeu Korca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Besa Kavaje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Skenderbeu Korca come out ahead of Besa Kavaje on wins alone.
  • Model gives Besa Kavaje a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Besa Kavaje Clean Sheet 68%
Skenderbeu Korca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besa Kavaje Skenderbeu Korca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Skenderbeu Korca
0:1
Jan 24, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Skenderbeu Korca
2:3
Oct 24, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Skenderbeu Korca vs Besa Kavaje
1:0
May 7, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Skenderbeu Korca vs Besa Kavaje
0:1
Dec 20, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Skenderbeu Korca
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Besa Kavaje Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Skenderbeu Korca Compare

Top Goalscorer Beshiraj M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besa Kavaje 95 / 100
Skenderbeu Korca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besa Kavaje Skenderbeu Korca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besa Kavaje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Besa Kavaje's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Skenderbeu Korca conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Besa Kavaje has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Besa Kavaje VS Skenderbeu Korca
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Besa Kavaje

(Home)
20 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Besa Kavaje
16 Sept
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
KF Oriku
12 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
0 : 4
Besa Kavaje
06 Sept
Besa Kavaje
3 : 3
Flamurtari
12 Aug
Kukesi
1 : 4
Besa Kavaje
Page 1 of 6

Skenderbeu Korca

(Away)
19 Sept
Vora
1 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
11 Sept
Skenderbeu Korca
1 : 1
KF Tirana
04 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
31 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 1
Dinamo City
21 Aug
Vllaznia
2 : 2
Skenderbeu Korca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)