Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Besa Kavaje vs Terbuni Puka

Albania Albania

First Division 2022/2023
Sat, Apr 8, 2023
3 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Besa Kavaje host Terbuni Puka in the First Division 2022/2023. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Besa Kavaje at 1.73 goals for, 1.24 against; Terbuni Puka at 0.8 for, 1.83 against. Past meetings favor Besa Kavaje slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 16, 2024, ending 4:3. Model xG sits at 1.48 vs 1.38, favoring Besa Kavaje. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Besa Kavaje
15%
Draws
0%
Terbuni Puka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Besa Kavaje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Terbuni Puka haven't matched Besa Kavaje's recent run of results.
  • Besa Kavaje are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Besa Kavaje have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Besa Kavaje Clean Sheet 17%
Terbuni Puka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besa Kavaje Terbuni Puka
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.73 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2024 Albanian Cup
Besa Kavaje vs Terbuni Puka
4:3
Apr 8, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Terbuni Puka
3:0
Nov 5, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Besa Kavaje
0:1
Apr 3, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Terbuni Puka
2:0
Nov 24, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Besa Kavaje
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besa Kavaje 84 / 100
Terbuni Puka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besa Kavaje Terbuni Puka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besa Kavaje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Terbuni Puka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Terbuni Puka's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Besa Kavaje found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Besa Kavaje VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Besa Kavaje

(Home)
20 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Besa Kavaje
16 Sept
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
KF Oriku
12 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
0 : 4
Besa Kavaje
06 Sept
Besa Kavaje
3 : 3
Flamurtari
12 Aug
Kukesi
1 : 4
Besa Kavaje
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Terbuni Puka

(Away)
15 Oct
Kukesi
3 : 1
Terbuni Puka
16 Oct
Besa Kavaje
4 : 3
Terbuni Puka
18 Oct
Terbuni Puka
2 : 4
Vora
13 May
Terbuni Puka
0 : 3
KF Oriku
06 May
Dinamo City
3 : 0
Terbuni Puka
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skenderbeu Korca 26 13 10 3 37:13 49
2 Dinamo City 26 14 5 7 48:23 47
3 Flamurtari 26 13 7 6 40:16 46
4 Tomori Berat 26 13 4 9 29:27 43
5 Korabi Peshkopi 26 10 9 7 32:24 39
6 Apolonia Fier 26 10 8 8 31:30 38
7 Luzi 26 10 8 8 31:26 38
8 Besa Kavaje 26 10 7 9 32:26 37
9 Lushnja 26 8 8 10 30:42 32
10 Burreli 26 7 10 9 22:29 31
11 KF Oriku 26 9 3 14 27:33 30
12 Turbina Cerrik 26 7 5 14 24:45 26
13 Beselidhja Lezha 26 3 8 15 17:41 14
14 Terbuni Puka 26 6 6 14 16:41 24
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2022/2023 (Relegation)