Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Besat Kermanshah vs Naft Gachsaran

Iran Iran

Hazfi Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Alipour O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Naft Gachsaran advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Besat Kermanshah
33%
Draws
27%
Naft Gachsaran
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Besat Kermanshah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Besat Kermanshah have managed 0.38 goals a game lately — Naft Gachsaran are scoring more at 0.63.
  • Win probability leans Besat Kermanshah's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Besat Kermanshah, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Besat Kermanshah Clean Sheet 68%
Naft Gachsaran Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besat Kermanshah Naft Gachsaran
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2026 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Besat Kermanshah
0:0
Nov 20, 2025 Hazfi Cup
Besat Kermanshah vs Naft Gachsaran
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah vs Naft Gachsaran
2:1
Jan 30, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Besat Kermanshah
0:0
Sep 17, 2024 Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah vs Naft Gachsaran
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Besat Kermanshah Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Naft Gachsaran Compare

Top Goalscorer Alipour O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besat Kermanshah 50 / 100
Naft Gachsaran 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besat Kermanshah Naft Gachsaran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naft Gachsaran's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Naft Gachsaran's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Besat Kermanshah scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Besat Kermanshah VS Naft Gachsaran
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Besat Kermanshah

(Home)
16 Jul
Besat Kermanshah
1 : 2
Pars Janoobi Jam
11 Jul
Naft Bandar Abbas
3 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
03 Jul
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 2
Fard
27 Jun
Ario Eslamshahr
2 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
21 Jun
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 1
Havadar SC
Page 1 of 6

Naft Gachsaran

(Away)
16 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 2
Mes Shahr Babak
11 Jul
Havadar SC
2 : 2
Naft Gachsaran
03 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1
Kara Gostar Shabestar
27 Jun
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 3
Mazandaran
21 Jun
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
4 : 2
Naft Gachsaran
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Foolad Hormozgan2
Chooka Talesh0
Esteghlal TEH2
Padyab Khalkhal1
Havadar SC3
Bargh1
Saipa1
Mazandaran0
Gol Gohar1
Shenavarsazi Qeshm0
Mes Rafsanjan1
Damash Gilan0
Aluminium Arak1
Malavan2
Mes Shahr Babak1
Fajr Sepasi0
Besat Kermanshah0
Naft Gachsaran1
Paykan2
Shahrdari Noshahr0
Esteghlal Khuzestan0
Foolad3
Chadormalu1
Zob Ahan0
Mes Kerman0
Sepahan1
Kheybar Khorramabad2
KIA FA1
Shams Azar Qazvin3
Niroye Zamini2
Tractor2
Persepolis1
1/8-finals
Foolad Hormozgan0
Esteghlal TEH2
Havadar SC2
Saipa3
Gol Gohar1
Mes Rafsanjan0
Malavan3
Mes Shahr Babak0
Naft Gachsaran0
Paykan1
Foolad2
Chadormalu0
Sepahan1
Kheybar Khorramabad3
Shams Azar Qazvin-
Tractor-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-