Sport Picks

Albania

First Division 2022/2023

Beselidhja Lezha

0 - 4

Dinamo Tirana

Our Tip

Match Events

Ivan D.

38'

Denisson Silva

67'

Denisson Silva

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dinamo Tirana in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dinamo Tirana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Beselidhja Lezha

Draws

90%

Dinamo Tirana

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dinamo Tirana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Dinamo Tirana have won more games recently than Beselidhja Lezha.
Model gives Dinamo Tirana a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Dinamo Tirana have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 22%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%

Beselidhja Lezha Clean Sheet 19%

Dinamo Tirana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Beselidhja Lezha	Dinamo Tirana
Matches Played	30	39
Wins	3	19
Draws	8	10
Losses	19	10
Goals Scored	0	1.38
Goals Conceded	0	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2023 Kategoria e Parë

Beselidhja Lezha vs Dinamo Tirana

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 3 - 0

0:4

Oct 9, 2022 Kategoria e Parë

Dinamo Tirana vs Beselidhja Lezha

Possession: 59% - 42% Cards: 0 - 4

4:0

Mar 21, 2021 Kategoria e Parë

Beselidhja Lezha vs Dinamo Tirana

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 1 - 4

4:3

Dec 14, 2020 Kategoria e Parë

Dinamo Tirana vs Beselidhja Lezha

Possession: 51% - 40% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Feb 22, 2020 Kategoria e Parë

Dinamo Tirana vs Beselidhja Lezha

Possession: 53% - 53% Cards: 0 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beselidhja Lezha Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Dinamo Tirana Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivan D.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Denisson Silva

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beselidhja Lezha 10 / 100

Dinamo Tirana 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Beselidhja Lezha Dinamo Tirana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Dinamo Tirana let in goals in 64% of their last 39 matches.

Beselidhja Lezha's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dinamo Tirana's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dinamo Tirana

0 Goals Scored 1.38

0 Goals Conceded 0.88

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Skenderbeu Korca	26	13	10	3	37:13	49
2	Dinamo Tirana	26	14	5	7	48:23	47
3	Flamurtari	26	13	7	6	40:16	46
4	Tomori Berat	26	13	4	9	29:27	43
5	Korabi Peshkopi	26	10	9	7	32:24	39
6	Apolonia Fier	26	10	8	8	31:30	38
7	Luzi	26	10	8	8	31:26	38
8	Besa Kavaje	26	10	7	9	32:26	37
9	Lushnja	26	8	8	10	30:42	32
10	Burreli	26	7	10	9	22:29	31
11	KF Oriku	26	9	3	14	27:33	30
12	Turbina Cerrik	26	7	5	14	24:45	26
13	Beselidhja Lezha	26	3	8	15	17:41	14
14	Terbuni Puka	26	6	6	14	16:41	24