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Beselidhja Lezha vs Iliria Kruja - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beselidhja Lezha host Iliria Kruja in the Kategoria e Parë. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Beselidhja Lezha at 0.76 goals for, 1.38 against; Iliria Kruja at 1.1 for, 1.1 against. Past meetings favor Beselidhja Lezha slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 16, 2019, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.19) point toward Iliria Kruja. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Beselidhja Lezha
15%
Draws
46%
Iliria Kruja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iliria Kruja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Iliria Kruja carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Beselidhja Lezha are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Beselidhja Lezha Clean Sheet 20%
Iliria Kruja Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beselidhja Lezha Iliria Kruja
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.76 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Beselidhja Lezha
0:0
Nov 3, 2018 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Iliria Kruja
1:0
Feb 11, 2017 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Iliria Kruja
1:1
Oct 29, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Beselidhja Lezha
0:0
Apr 2, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Beselidhja Lezha
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beselidhja Lezha 58 / 100
Iliria Kruja 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beselidhja Lezha Iliria Kruja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beselidhja Lezha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iliria Kruja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Beselidhja Lezha stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Beselidhja Lezha found the back of the net in 34% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 0.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Beselidhja Lezha VS Iliria Kruja
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Beselidhja Lezha

(Home)
28 Oct
Beselidhja Lezha
5 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
23 Oct
Flamurtari
1 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
17 Oct
Beselidhja Lezha
4 : 1
Kastrioti
11 Oct
Burreli
0 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
06 Oct
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Sopoti Librazhd
Page 1 of 6

Iliria Kruja

(Away)
29 Oct
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1
Flamurtari
24 Oct
Kastrioti
0 : 1
Iliria Kruja
17 Oct
Iliria Kruja
1 : 0
Burreli
11 Oct
Besa Kavaje
2 : 0
Iliria Kruja
07 Oct
Iliria Kruja
4 : 3
Koplik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kukesi 8 5 0 3 11:8 15
2 Iliria Kruja 8 4 3 1 9:6 15
3 Besa Kavaje 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
4 Pogradeci 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
5 Flamurtari 8 3 3 2 12:8 12
6 Bylis 8 2 6 0 7:5 12
7 Beselidhja Lezha 8 3 2 3 12:9 11
8 Korabi Peshkopi 8 3 2 3 5:9 11
9 Kastrioti 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
10 Sopoti Librazhd 8 1 4 3 10:17 7
11 Burreli 8 1 3 4 6:10 6
12 KF Oriku 8 0 2 6 3:16 2
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)