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Beselidhja Lezha vs Kastrioti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beselidhja Lezha host Kastrioti in the Kategoria e Parë. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Beselidhja Lezha have averaged 0.57 scored and 1.46 conceded recently, against Kastrioti's 1.39 scored and 1.71 conceded. Head-to-head, Beselidhja Lezha have won 2 to Kastrioti's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2020, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.31) back Kastrioti to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Beselidhja Lezha
30%
Draws
37%
Kastrioti
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kastrioti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Beselidhja Lezha haven't matched Kastrioti's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Beselidhja Lezha taking it.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Beselidhja Lezha Clean Sheet 18%
Kastrioti Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beselidhja Lezha Kastrioti
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.57 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Kastrioti
2:0
Jun 20, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Beselidhja Lezha
1:0
Dec 15, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Kastrioti
1:0
Sep 21, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Beselidhja Lezha
0:0
Apr 14, 2018 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Beselidhja Lezha
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beselidhja Lezha 36 / 100
Kastrioti 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beselidhja Lezha Kastrioti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kastrioti conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Beselidhja Lezha remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Beselidhja Lezha found the back of the net in 36% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Beselidhja Lezha VS Kastrioti
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Beselidhja Lezha

(Home)
06 Oct
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Sopoti Librazhd
20 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Besa Kavaje
16 Sept
Bylis
0 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
12 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
1 : 2
Korabi Peshkopi
05 Sept
Kukesi
2 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
Page 1 of 6

Kastrioti

(Away)
07 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 1
Luzi
20 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
1 : 1
Kastrioti
16 Sept
Kastrioti
1 : 0
Flamurtari
12 Sept
Pogradeci
2 : 1
Kastrioti
06 Sept
Burreli
2 : 2
Kastrioti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogradeci 4 2 2 0 5:1 8
2 Besa Kavaje 4 2 1 1 13:5 7
3 Korabi Peshkopi 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
4 Iliria Kruja 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Bylis 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
6 Kukesi 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
7 Kastrioti 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
8 Burreli 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
9 Sopoti Librazhd 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
10 Beselidhja Lezha 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
11 Flamurtari 4 0 3 1 4:5 3
12 KF Oriku 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)