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Beselidhja Lezha vs Kukesi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beselidhja Lezha host Kukesi in the Kategoria e Parë. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Beselidhja Lezha have averaged 0.76 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Kukesi's 1.45 scored and 1.55 conceded. Past meetings favor Kukesi slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.44 - 1.19) back Kukesi to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Beselidhja Lezha
15%
Draws
46%
Kukesi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kukesi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Kukesi have won more games recently than Beselidhja Lezha.
  • Model gives Beselidhja Lezha a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kukesi here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Beselidhja Lezha Clean Sheet 20%
Kukesi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beselidhja Lezha Kukesi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.76 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs Beselidhja Lezha
2:0
Oct 3, 2012 Albanian Cup
Kukesi vs Beselidhja Lezha
1:2
Sep 26, 2012 Albanian Cup
Beselidhja Lezha vs Kukesi
2:4
Apr 28, 2012 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Kukesi
3:4
Dec 17, 2011 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs Beselidhja Lezha
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beselidhja Lezha 40 / 100
Kukesi 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beselidhja Lezha Kukesi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beselidhja Lezha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Kukesi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Beselidhja Lezha has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Beselidhja Lezha scored in 34% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Beselidhja Lezha VS Kukesi
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Beselidhja Lezha

(Home)
28 Oct
Beselidhja Lezha
5 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
23 Oct
Flamurtari
1 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
17 Oct
Beselidhja Lezha
4 : 1
Kastrioti
11 Oct
Burreli
0 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
06 Oct
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Sopoti Librazhd
Page 1 of 6

Kukesi

(Away)
28 Oct
Kukesi
1 : 0
Kastrioti
24 Oct
Burreli
1 : 2
Kukesi
16 Oct
Kukesi
2 : 0
Besa Kavaje
10 Oct
Bylis
1 : 0
Kukesi
07 Oct
Kukesi
3 : 2
Erzeni Shijak
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kukesi 8 5 0 3 11:8 15
2 Iliria Kruja 8 4 3 1 9:6 15
3 Besa Kavaje 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
4 Pogradeci 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
5 Flamurtari 8 3 3 2 12:8 12
6 Bylis 8 2 6 0 7:5 12
7 Beselidhja Lezha 8 3 2 3 12:9 11
8 Korabi Peshkopi 8 3 2 3 5:9 11
9 Kastrioti 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
10 Sopoti Librazhd 8 1 4 3 10:17 7
11 Burreli 8 1 3 4 6:10 6
12 KF Oriku 8 0 2 6 3:16 2
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)