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Besiktas vs Crystal Palace - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Tupras Stadium, Istanbul
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Besiktas host Crystal Palace in the Europa League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Crystal Palace have shipped 1.68 goals a game lately, while Besiktas have conceded 0.97 and scored 1.59. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.56) point toward Besiktas. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Besiktas
15%
Draws
31%
Crystal Palace
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Besiktas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Besiktas lately — more wins on the board than Crystal Palace.
  • Win probability leans Besiktas's way, sitting at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Besiktas Clean Sheet 15%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besiktas Crystal Palace
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.59 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besiktas 48 / 100
Crystal Palace 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besiktas Crystal Palace

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besiktas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Besiktas's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Crystal Palace's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Besiktas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Crystal Palace lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Besiktas VS Crystal Palace
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Besiktas

(Home)
11 Oct
Besiktas
2 : 1
Kocaelispor
20 Sept
Amedspor
3 : 2
Besiktas
17 Sept
Besiktas
4 : 1
Marseille
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0
Erzurumspor FK
05 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 2
Besiktas
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Crystal Palace

(Away)
11 Oct
Crystal Palace
3 : 1
Nottingham
03 Oct
Crystal Palace
0 : 2
Bristol City
20 Sept
Leeds
0 : 0
Crystal Palace
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0
Lech Poznan
12 Sept
Crystal Palace
2 : 3
Ipswich
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Sparta Prague 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
4 Besiktas 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
5 Royale Union SG 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
6 Ferencvaros 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 Benfica 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 OFI Crete 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
11 Lyon 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12 Torreense 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
13 Olympiacos Piraeus 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
14 Salzburg 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
15 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
16 Omonia 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
17 Sturm Graz 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
18 Rennes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
19 Din. Zagreb 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
20 H. Beer Sheva 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
21 Jagiellonia 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
22 Real Sociedad 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
23 Anderlecht 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
24 Lillestrom 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
25 Celta Vigo 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
27 Levski Sofia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 Celtic 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
29 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
30 AC Milan 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
31 Celje 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
32 Marseille 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
33 Ararat-Armenia 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
34 Plzen 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
35 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
36 Nijmegen 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)