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Besiktas vs F. Karagumruk

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig 2025/2026 Besiktas Park, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Topcu E.
35'
Ahmed T.
56'
Sub
Larsson S. In: Kranevitter M.
Out: Larsson S.

AI Match Summary

The Super Lig 2025/2026 game between Besiktas and F. Karagumruk finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Besiktas
40%
Draws
29%
F. Karagumruk
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Besiktas come out ahead of F. Karagumruk on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Super Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Besiktas Clean Sheet 20%
F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besiktas F. Karagumruk
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.63 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Super Lig
Besiktas vs F. Karagumruk
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Super Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Besiktas
0:2
Mar 28, 2024 Club Friendly
Besiktas vs F. Karagumruk
1:1
Jan 13, 2024 Super Lig
Besiktas vs F. Karagumruk
3:0
Aug 14, 2023 Super Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Besiktas
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besiktas 32 / 100
F. Karagumruk 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besiktas F. Karagumruk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Besiktas scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

F. Karagumruk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Besiktas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Besiktas VS F. Karagumruk
1.63 Goals Scored 0.83
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Besiktas

(Home)
14 Jul
Spartak Trnava
3 : 2
Besiktas
14 Jul
Malzenice
1 : 1
Besiktas
10 Jul
Widzew Lodz
2 : 0
Besiktas
05 Jul
Mosonmagyarovari TE
0 : 0
Besiktas
02 Jul
Besiktas
2 : 1
Gyirmot FC Gyor
Page 1 of 7

F. Karagumruk

(Away)
16 May
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1
Alanyaspor
09 May
Kocaelispor
0 : 1
F. Karagumruk
03 May
F. Karagumruk
1 : 0
Genclerbirligi
27 Apr
Besiktas
0 : 0
F. Karagumruk
18 Apr
F. Karagumruk
1 : 2
Eyupspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray34245577:3077
2Fenerbahce342111277:3774
3Trabzonspor34209561:3969
4Besiktas34179859:4060
5Basaksehir34169958:3557
6Goztepe341413742:3255
7Samsunspor341312946:4551
8Rizespor3410111346:5241
9Konyaspor3410101443:5040
10Kocaelispor349101526:3837
11Alanyaspor347161141:4137
12Gaziantep349101543:5837
13Kasimpasa348111533:4935
14Genclerbirligi34971836:4734
15Eyupspor34891733:4833
16Antalyaspor34881833:5532
17Kayserispor346121627:6230
18F. Karagumruk34862031:5430
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig (Main)