Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15

Oberena

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Beti Kozkor play Oberena in the Tercera RFEF - Group 15. It looks like a close match. Recently, Beti Kozkor averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Oberena averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Beti Kozkor won 2, Oberena won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 4, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Beti Kozkor and 1.19 for Oberena. This points to a Beti Kozkor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Beti Kozkor

27%

Draws

29%

Oberena

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Beti Kozkor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Beti Kozkor picked up more points recently compared to Oberena.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Beti Kozkor Clean Sheet 20%

Oberena Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Beti Kozkor	Oberena
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	6
Draws	8	10
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	1.47	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.23	1.73
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15

Beti Kozkor vs Oberena

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 4 - 4

4:0

Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15

Oberena vs Beti Kozkor

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Feb 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15

Beti Kozkor vs Oberena

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 2 - 4

0:1

Sep 30, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15

Oberena vs Beti Kozkor

Possession: 55% - 47% Cards: 4 - 0

0:0

May 5, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15

Oberena vs Beti Kozkor

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 1 - 4

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beti Kozkor Compare

Top Goalscorer Barberena B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ugartemendia O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Oberena Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beti Kozkor 44 / 100

Oberena 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Beti Kozkor Oberena

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Beti Kozkor or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Beti Kozkor attacking → ← attacking Oberena

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beti Kozkor scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Oberena let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Beti Kozkor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Oberena lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 28

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pena	34	24	5	5	65:39	77
2	Pamplona	34	22	8	4	65:28	74
3	Izarra	34	16	13	5	64:31	61
4	Subiza	34	15	9	10	46:31	54
5	AD San Juan	34	12	16	6	43:28	52
6	Huarte	34	15	2	17	49:47	47
7	Beti Kozkor	34	12	10	12	50:43	46
8	Ezcabarte	34	12	9	13	47:49	45
9	Cortes	34	13	5	16	37:51	44
10	Cirbonero	34	11	10	13	38:42	43
11	Txantrea	34	12	7	15	52:67	43
12	Valle Egues	34	11	9	14	48:57	42
13	Bidezarra	34	10	9	15	34:40	39
14	Aoiz	34	9	9	16	41:49	36
15	CD Beti Onak	34	9	9	16	42:55	36
16	CD Ardoi	34	8	12	14	46:56	36
17	Oberena	34	7	10	17	32:61	31
18	CA Artajones	34	7	10	17	36:61	31