Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Betlemi Keda vs FC Gardabani

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Ashba S.

AI Match Summary

Betlemi Keda in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Betlemi Keda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Betlemi Keda
11%
Draws
9%
FC Gardabani
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Betlemi Keda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: FC Gardabani at 1.25 per game, Betlemi Keda at 0.88.
  • Win probability leans Betlemi Keda's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Betlemi Keda have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Betlemi Keda Clean Sheet 12%
FC Gardabani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Betlemi Keda FC Gardabani
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Liga 3
Betlemi Keda vs FC Gardabani
1:0
Sep 5, 2025 Liga 3
Betlemi Keda vs FC Gardabani
4:1
Apr 4, 2025 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Betlemi Keda
1:3
Nov 21, 2024 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Betlemi Keda
5:1
May 30, 2024 Liga 3
Betlemi Keda vs FC Gardabani
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Betlemi Keda Compare

Top Goalscorer Ashba S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

FC Gardabani Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Betlemi Keda 74 / 100
FC Gardabani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Betlemi Keda FC Gardabani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gardabani let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

FC Gardabani's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Betlemi Keda's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Betlemi Keda VS FC Gardabani
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Betlemi Keda

(Home)
26 Jun
Iveria Khashuri
5 : 4
Betlemi Keda
21 Jun
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
WIT Georgia
15 Jun
FC Tbilisi 2025
7 : 1
Betlemi Keda
02 Jun
Betlemi Keda
2 : 2
Khobi
28 May
Betlemi Keda
0 : 3
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
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FC Gardabani

(Away)
26 Jun
FC Gardabani
1 : 5
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
21 Jun
FC Gardabani
1 : 3
FC Tbilisi 2025
15 Jun
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
28 May
FC Gardabani
0 : 6
Gonio
21 May
Iberia 1999 2
6 : 0
FC Gardabani
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Tbilisi 202515123040:839
2Guria15103242:1033
3Iberia 1999 21594225:931
4Gonio1593325:1130
5Orbi1582526:1526
6Merani Tbilisi1574421:1625
7Didube1574422:1825
8WIT Georgia1573521:1424
9Dinamo Tbilisi 21553718:1818
10Khobi1552820:2817
11Locomotive Tbilisi1544714:2116
12Margveti 20061551915:3016
13FC Gardabani1534814:3013
14Iveria Khashuri1516813:289
15Betlemi Keda1523109:339
16FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi1503128:443
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