Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi vs Kocaelispor

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup Ataturk Olimpiyat, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Keten A.
46'
Sub
Gedik F. In: Agyei D.
Out: Gedik F.
46'
Sub
Yalcin S. In: Dursun S.
Out: Yalcin S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Beyoglu Yeni Carsi advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
6%
Draws
4%
Kocaelispor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Beyoglu Yeni Carsi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Beyoglu Yeni Carsi come out ahead of Kocaelispor on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Beyoglu Yeni Carsi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Beyoglu Yeni Carsi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Beyoglu Yeni Carsi, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Beyoglu Yeni Carsi have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi Clean Sheet 68%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beyoglu Yeni Carsi Kocaelispor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Turkish Cup
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi vs Kocaelispor
1:0
Feb 10, 2019 3. Lig Group 3
Kocaelispor vs Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
1:2
Sep 22, 2018 3. Lig Group 3
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi vs Kocaelispor
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurtoglu A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kocaelispor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 95 / 100
Kocaelispor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi Kocaelispor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Beyoglu Yeni Carsi stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Kocaelispor let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi VS Kocaelispor
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi

(Home)
25 Apr
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
3 : 1
Erbaaspor
19 Apr
Inegolspor
1 : 1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
12 Apr
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
1 : 0
Kepez Bld.
08 Apr
Bucaspor 1928
1 : 1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
04 Apr
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
1 : 0
Beykoz Anadolu
Page 1 of 7

Kocaelispor

(Away)
17 May
Antalyaspor
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
09 May
Kocaelispor
0 : 1
F. Karagumruk
03 May
Kasimpasa
1 : 1
Kocaelispor
26 Apr
Genclerbirligi
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
18 Apr
Kocaelispor
1 : 1
Goztepe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray44008:312
2Trabzonspor430113:49
3Alanyaspor42118:47
4Basaksehir42028:76
5F. Karagumruk41215:65
6Boluspor40221:62
7Istanbulspor AS40222:92
8Fethiyespor40131:71
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Samsunspor440012:312
2Konyaspor44009:112
3Genclerbirligi43109:510
4Igdir FK41219:45
5Eyupspor41125:64
6Bodrumspor40133:71
7Aliaga40135:161
8Antalyaspor40040:100
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Besiktas431010:310
2Fenerbahce43019:39
3Erzurumspor FK42028:86
4Gaziantep42028:106
5Kocaelispor41124:44
6Rizespor41127:94
7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi41123:54
8Keciorengucu41036:133
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams