Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025

Atletico Mineros

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bezana play Atletico Mineros in the Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bezana averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. Atletico Mineros averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Bezana won 3, Atletico Mineros won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 26, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Bezana and 1.00 for Atletico Mineros. This points to a Bezana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%

Bezana

15%

Draws

32%

Atletico Mineros

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bezana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Bezana picked up more points recently compared to Atletico Mineros.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Bezana Clean Sheet 23%

Atletico Mineros Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bezana	Atletico Mineros
Matches Played	38	30
Wins	16	8
Draws	7	7
Losses	15	15
Goals Scored	1.37	0.97
Goals Conceded	1.18	1.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Bezana vs Atletico Mineros

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Atletico Mineros vs Bezana

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Jan 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Atletico Mineros vs Bezana

Possession: 58% - 53% Cards: 0 - 2

1:4

Sep 9, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Bezana vs Atletico Mineros

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bezana Compare

Top Goalscorer Luis Alberto

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Atletico Mineros Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bezana 52 / 100

Atletico Mineros 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bezana Atletico Mineros

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bezana Win (1)

Secondary Pick Bezana & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.7%

2.22

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bezana attacking → ← attacking Atletico Mineros

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bezana scored in 68% of their last 38 games.

Atletico Mineros let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Bezana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Mineros lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 31

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Samano	34	20	10	4	52:22	70
2	CD Tropezon	34	20	7	7	58:30	67
3	Atletico Albericia	34	19	7	8	64:39	64
4	Cayon CD	34	19	5	10	61:41	62
5	Castro	34	16	11	7	45:26	59
6	Vimenor	34	17	6	11	63:42	57
7	Bezana	34	15	9	10	46:41	54
8	Torina	34	14	8	12	49:44	50
9	CD Barquereno	34	13	10	11	60:59	49
10	Guarnizo	34	11	15	8	44:37	48
11	SD Revilla	34	12	6	16	46:53	42
12	CD Colindres	34	9	9	16	36:53	36
13	Gama	34	9	9	16	34:56	36
14	Atletico Mineros	34	9	8	17	33:58	35
15	Barreda Balompie	34	8	10	16	49:65	34
16	Naval Reinosa	34	9	6	19	40:59	33
17	CD Siete Villas	34	7	7	20	29:53	28
18	CD Monte	34	5	5	24	33:64	20